Diberdayakan oleh Blogger.

Popular Posts Today

Austrians rue starting fashion for Swiss franc mortgages

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 31 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Sat Jan 31, 2015 3:00am EST

* Swiss franc surge swells mortgage debt in euro

* Repayment vehicles often lack returns to repay loans

* Nearly a fifth of loans to households in foreign currency

By Michael Shields and Angelika Gruber

VIENNA, Feb 1 (Reuters) - The surging Swiss franc has dealt a double blow to homeowners in Austria, home of the trend for borrowing in the Swiss currency that has devastated mortgage holders across eastern Europe.

In the early 1990s, people living in the west of the country who crossed into Switzerland to work were lured by the ultra low interest rates offered in the safe-haven currency.

The idea then spread, crossing a fundamental red line that was barely perceptible at the time: the new borrowers were not earning Swiss francs but euros.

Foreign-currency loans now account for nearly a fifth of household debt in Austria, even though regulators effectively banned them in 2008 for fear of a looming crisis. Around 150,000 families still owe around 29 billion euros of Swiss franc debt, with 4 percent of loans due within a year.

Banks' loan books could take a hit if defaults rise. Austrians are relatively wealthy and have benefited from rises in property prices, but poorly performing insurance policies sold alongside many mortgages present an added twist.

From loans to Austrians, it was a short step for Austrian banks to start selling Swiss franc-denominated mortgages through the large networks they set up in Poland, Hungary and Romania after communism fell in 1989.

Ratings agency Fitch said four big banks - Erste, Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI), Bank Austria and Volksbanken - held 30 billion euros of Swiss franc loans on their books in central and eastern Europe.

Back home, it was not relative inexperience of the financial services industry but proximity to it that caused the biggest trouble; mortgages were often linked to investment schemes designed to repay the loans at maturity.

"You often had a wealth adviser in your circle of acquaintances or family, and then you fell into their hands," said Peter Kolba of consumer advocate agency VKI.

These fee-hungry consultants often advised people to borrow twice as much as they actually needed to buy a home, and to invest the rest to finance the loan repayment.

One woman facing a 50,000 euro loss on her loan package, 20,000 of it since the Swiss central bank suddenly abandoned its cap on the franc on Jan. 15, said it was easy to be taken in.

"It looks so great when the financial advisers show you how much cheaper it is," she said, asking not to be named. "I wasn't aware (of the risk), but admit to a certain amount of naiveté."

Accompanying investment schemes were supposed to easily pay off the interest-only mortgage at maturity but were unrealistic, Kolba said.

"It would add up only if a market - counter to all expectations - only went up. The model was driven by the provisions paid for the products that were being sold," he said, noting brokers could make 10,000 euros in fees from the package of mortgage and investment funds sold to one client.

Banks have consistently offered to help customers switch out of Swiss franc loans into less-risky euro mortgages. But many clients failed to follow through in hope they could erase initial currency losses, only to get nailed again in January.

The rating agencies say the big local component of Austrian banks' loan portfolios means the risks to them are low, citing rising property prices and relatively wealthy clients.

"With two-thirds of Swiss franc mortgages held domestically, we expect asset quality deterioration to be moderate, despite the significant exposure," Fitch said.

In December, however, the Austrian central bank called the high share of foreign-currency loans "a major risk factor with respect to the financial position of Austrian households".

UNDER WATER

Erste and Bank Austria say they won't take big hits from the franc's rise. RBI has no Swiss franc retail loans in Austria and has played down the impact in eastern Europe. The Association of Volksbanks says its share of foreign-currency loans is the Austrian sector's lowest.

The typical floating-rate FX loan was worth 100,000 euros and ran from 15 to 25 years. Customers usually pay only monthly interest, with the full amount of capital due at maturity.

Christian Prantner, an expert on the mortgages at Austria's Chamber of Labour, spoke of one colleague who in 2005 took out a 20-year Swiss franc mortgage for 145,000 euros. She also bought a life insurance policy linked to two investment funds that was supposed to pay off the mortgage when it came due in 2025.

After paying in 70,000 worth of premiums, her account is worth only 50,000 after markets tanked in the financial crisis.

"She is half way through and has 10 years to go. The fund-linked insurance policy will never cover even the original loan amount, let alone what you get by converting the currency at a rate of 1.01" francs per euro, he said.

Nearly three quarters of foreign-currency mortgages due at maturity are backed by such repayment vehicles. Only a fifth get both interest and principal paid in regular monthly instalments.

One bright note is that residential property prices increased by 45 percent from early 2007 to mid-2014, or by 24 percent adjusted for inflation, central bank data show.

That is good for borrowers and banks, Prantner said. "But it can also mean customers who stick with the loan and wait until the end can have a giant gap of 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 (euros), that they then may have to sell the house" to pay the mortgage.

The latest blow is for investors who took out "stop-loss" orders to convert Swiss francs to euros should the 1.20 peg fail, Kolba said. This backfired when the franc rose so much so fast that banks could close out positions only much lower.

The woman with the franc loan said her bank executed her stop-loss order only when the euro and franc were at 1:1, not the level just under 1.20 she wanted. "That was a shock," she said, adding she had hired a lawyer to review her options.

Kolba said the best bet for many borrowers would be using a new consumer arbitration process financed by the government to reach a compromise with their lender. (Editing by Philippa Fletcher)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Merkel rejects debt writedown for Greece - Die Welt

BERLIN Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:37am EST

BERLIN Jan 31 (Reuters) - German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her finance minister have both ruled out a debt haircut for Greece, rejecting the new Greek government's demand to write off part of its 320 billion euro ($360 billion) debt.

"There was already a voluntary waiver by private creditors; Greece has already been exempt from billions by the banks. I don't see a further debt haircut," Merkel told German daily Die Welt in an interview published in its Saturday edition.

Greece's new leftist government opened talks on its bailout with European partners on Friday by flatly refusing to extend the programme or to cooperate with the international inspectors overseeing it.

The meeting marked the start of Athens' drive to persuade its creditors to ease the strict terms of the bailout.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told Die Welt: "If I were a responsible Greek politician, I wouldn't lead any debates over a debt haircut." ($1 = 0.8861 euros) (Writing by Paul Carrel; Editing by Hugh Lawson)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

ECB's Liikanen: No lending to Greek banks if no deal by end of February

HELSINKI Sat Jan 31, 2015 5:29am EST

HELSINKI Jan 31 (Reuters) - A deal on extending Greece's bailout deal must be found by the end of February or the European Central Bank will not be able to continue lending to its banks, ECB council member Erkki Liikanen said on Saturday.

Europe's bailout programme for Greece, part of a 240-billion-euro ($270 billion) rescue package along with the International Monetary Fund, expires on Feb. 28 and a failure to renew it could leave Athens unable to meet its financing needs and cut its banks off from ECB liquidity support.

Greece's new leftist government, which aims to ease the strict terms of the bailout that have imposed harsh austerity, opened talks with European partners on Friday by flatly refusing to extend the current programme or to cooperate with the international inspectors overseeing it.

"We (ECB) have our own legislation and we will act according to that... Now, Greece's programme extension will expire in the end of February so some kind of solution must be found, otherwise we can't continue lending," Liikanen, also the governor of Finland's central bank, told public broadcaster YLE.

"I don't believe that one can hide from the realities in the economy," he said in an interview.

Asked about the possibility of a Greek debt haircut, Liikanen said: "A significant debt restructuring has been carried out with private investors. The ECB cannot fund a state directly, which is what it would mean in this case." (Reporting by Jussi Rosendahl; Editing by Mark Heinrich)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Fitch: Greece-Troika Deal Still Possible but Risks Are High

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 30 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Fri Jan 30, 2015 5:21am EST

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) LONDON, January 30 (Fitch) The Greek election result does not change Fitch Ratings' view that the country will reach an agreement with its official creditors. But there is a high risk that protracted and difficult negotiations will sap confidence and liquidity from the Greek economy. Our baseline assumption reflects strong incentives for a settlement on both sides. A deal would unlock EUR7.2bn for Greece under its outstanding programme review. Greece's official lenders (the EU, ECB, and IMF - the Troika) will want to avoid damage to the wider European project, and losses on their existing Greek exposures, should failure precipitate Greece's exit from the single currency (a risk that we think is lower than in 2012). But the path of negotiations is highly uncertain. Syriza's choice of the Independent Greeks as a coalition partner signals a confrontational approach, due to both parties' strong anti-austerity and pro-debt restructuring stances. The new government's proposals to partially unwind or delay previously agreed reforms, although limited in scope, could alienate the Troika. And while senior members of the government have made conciliatory comments, political posturing on both sides risks further damaging investor and depositor confidence. Redemptions of over EUR6bn of Greek bonds held by the Eurosystem under the Securities Markets Programme in July and August effectively form a hard deadline for an agreement. But negotiations could still last several months, as with previous programme reviews. They will probably encompass: completion of the outstanding review and extending the current programme beyond the end of February; a new (possibly precautionary) programme; and official sector debt restructuring (OSI). The longer they take, the greater the pressure on the sovereign's financing position, and on bank liquidity and the economy. The content of any settlement is hard to predict. With substantial fiscal tightening already accomplished, looser primary surplus targets are possible, as is "soft" OSI via maturity extensions and lower interest costs (principal write-downs are less politically acceptable to official creditors). The concessional nature of Greece's existing debt means this would not dramatically improve Greece's debt/GDP ratio, which will be more influenced by nominal GDP growth rates. Greece's debt stock already has a long average maturity of over 16 years and a low average interest rate of around 2.3%. The prospect of delays in securing official and market financing and the gap between the two sides' policy proposals are reflected in our revision of the Outlook on Greece's 'B' sovereign rating to Negative on 16 January. Our next scheduled review of Greece's sovereign rating is on 15 May. If no progress is made in negotiations with the Troika by then and financial and economic conditions worsen, we would be likely to downgrade the rating. If a deal were secured under which Greece received official financing, we could affirm the rating. We discussed political developments in Greece and the sovereign and banks' liquidity positions in a teleconference on 29 January. A replay is available at www.fitchratings.com. Contact: Douglas Renwick Senior Director Sovereigns +44 20 3530 1045 Fitch Ratings Limited 30 North Colonnade London E14 5GN Mark Brown Senior Director Fitch Wire +44 20 3530 1588 Media Relations: Peter Fitzpatrick, London, Tel: +44 20 3530 1103, Email: peter.fitzpatrick@fitchratings.com. The above article originally appeared as a post on the Fitch Wire credit market commentary page. The original article can be accessed at www.fitchratings.com. All opinions expressed are those of Fitch Ratings. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: 2015 Outlook: Sovereigns here Greece here ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: here. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Russian central bank makes surprise interest rate cut

MOSCOW Fri Jan 30, 2015 5:41am EST

MOSCOW Jan 30 (Reuters) - Russia's central bank cut its key interest rate by two points to 15 percent on Friday, as the economy slides towards recession because of a collapse in global oil prices and Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis.

The central bank said in a statement it was reducing its one-week minimum auction repo rate, which had been 17 percent, seeing conditions for a reduction in inflation in the medium-term.

The bank hiked its key rate by a total of 11.5 percentage points last year in response to panic on the currency market and soaring inflation, which reached 11.4 percent in December. (Reporting by Alexander Winning, Katya Golubkova, Jason Bush and Lidia Kelly and Elizabeth Peiper, Editing by Timothy Heritage)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 1-Russian central bank makes surprise interest rate cut

Fri Jan 30, 2015 5:53am EST

(Adds details)

MOSCOW Jan 30 (Reuters) - Russia's central bank cut its key interest rate on Friday, defying expectations of a hold, as the economy slides towards recession because of a collapse in global oil prices and Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis.

The central bank said in a statement that it was reducing its one-week minimum auction repo rate by two points to 15 percent, adding that it saw conditions for lower inflation in the medium term.

This follows its decision to increase the rate by 6.5 points to 17 percent at an emergency meeting in mid-December provoked by a run on the rouble.

Analysts had expected the bank to hold rates this month, as the bank had previously said it would cut rates when inflation is on a sustained downward trend. Inflation has instead been shooting up as a result of the slide in the rouble.

Following the decision, the rouble fell, and was down over 3 percent on the day against the dollar and euro at 1045 GMT.

In its statement, the bank said that inflation in annual terms had reached 13.1 percent as of Jan. 26, but it expected it to fall below 10 percent by January 2016.

The bank said that it expected gross domestic product to fall by 3.2 percent in annual terms during the first half of 2015, following growth of 0.6 percent in 2014. (Reporting by Alexander Winning, Katya Golubkova, Jason Bush, Vladimir Soldatkin, Lidia Kelly and Elizabeth Piper, Editing by Timothy Heritage)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 2-Brazil's Bradesco sets lower loan book growth forecast

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 29 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Thu Jan 29, 2015 5:15am EST

(Recasts to add details, comments throughout)

By Guillermo Parra-Bernal

SAO PAULO Jan 29 (Reuters) - Banco Bradesco SA, Brazil's second-biggest private sector bank, on Thursday forecast lower lending growth for this year than it estimated for 2014, highlighting the economic headwinds facing Latin America's largest economy.

In a securities filing, Bradesco said its loan book could grow 5 percent to 9 percent in 2015, compared with the 6.5 percent growth achieved last year. The lender had predicted 7 percent to 11 percent credit growth for 2014.

The forecast highlights increased caution as Brazil's economic imbalances and growing skepticism over President Dilma Rousseff's ability to jumpstart activity dampen demand for credit. Last year, banks extended loans to Brazilian consumers and companies at the slowest pace since 2007, central bank data showed this week.

Most economists and companies warn that Brazil is faced with a second straight year of stagnation and persistently high inflation in 2015, with additional threats to activity including falling commodity prices and potential U.S. interest-rate hikes. Nowadays, Brazil depends heavily on commodity exports and foreign capital inflows to fund its record current account shortfall.

"This makes it imperative for Brazil to commit to implementing sustainable policies," the filing said. "Efforts in that direction are a necessary condition to enhance predictability and instill public confidence."

In spite of the challenging outlook, Bradesco beat fourth-quarter estimates on the back of prudent loan disbursements, rising interest rates on loans and a decline in defaults that enabled management to trim loan-loss provisions.

Bradesco posted record recurring net income, or profit before one-time charges, of 4.132 billion reais ($1.59 billion), up 4.6 percent and 29.2 percent on quarterly and annual bases, respectively. A Reuters poll expected recurring profit at 3.971 billion reais.

Return on equity, a gauge of profitability for banks, totaled 20.1 percent, above the poll's estimate of 19.8 percent.

Higher rates helped boost interest income for a third consecutive quarter. Loan-loss provisions fell 1.2 percent to 3.307 billion reais, well below estimates, even after delinquencies in some corporate loans climbed.

Rising fee and insurance income helped offset rising non-interest expenses, the filing showed.

"Despite subdued loan growth, Bradesco is generating strong net interest income growth as loan repricing continues while maintaining very good cost control and asset quality," said Philip Finch, a strategist with UBS Securities in London.

Management will discuss results at a conference call later in the day.

($1 = 2.5959 Brazilian reais) (Editing by Mark Potter)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Belarus is independent and defended by "armed" people - Lukashenko

MOSCOW Thu Jan 29, 2015 5:43am EST

MOSCOW Jan 29 (Reuters) - Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko said on Thursday his country was a sovereign, independent nation which could not be handed over to anybody.

The Belarussian leader told his annual news conference: "As for conversations that Belarus is some kind of a part of the Russian world ... Belarus is a sovereign, independent state ... There are hundreds of thousands of armed people lined up behind me." (Reporting by Andrei Makhovsky, Writing by Elizabeth Piper, editing by Katya Golubkova)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Brazil's central bank says progress against inflation insufficient

BRASILIA Thu Jan 29, 2015 5:55am EST

BRASILIA Jan 29 (Reuters) - Brazil has not made enough progress in fighting inflation but the outlook for bringing it down to the 4.5 percent center of the target in 2016 has improved, the central bank said in the minutes of its last rate-setting meeting released on Thursday.

The central bank last week raised its benchmark Selic rate by 50 basis points to 12.25 percent, maintaining the pace of monetary tightening to battle a spike in inflation despite fears of an economic recession this year.

The bank reiterated that inflation might be higher in the near term as government-controlled prices rise sharply, but it will likely enter a long period of decline later this year. (Reporting by Anthony Boadle; Editing by Toby Chopra)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

MOVES-Jeffrey Mueller to join Eaton Vance unit as portfolio manager

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 28 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Wed Jan 28, 2015 5:30am EST

Jan 28 (Reuters) - Eaton Vance Management International, a unit of Eaton Vance Corp, appointed Jeffrey Mueller as a portfolio manager and global high-yield analyst, effective March.

Mueller, who was also named vice president, will be responsible for the growth of its corporate credit capabilities.

He will lead investment management and credit research for all non-U.S. high yield opportunities, the company said.

Mueller is a portfolio manager at Threadneedle Asset Management. (Reporting by Yashaswini Swamynathan in Bengaluru)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 1-Petrobras reports 3rd-qtr unaudited profit without graft writedown

Wed Jan 28, 2015 5:44am EST

(Adds details and background)

RIO DE JANEIRO Jan 28 (Reuters) - Brazil's Petrobras reported a third-quarter unaudited net profit on Wednesday of 3.09 billion reais ($1.20 billion) after its board said it was impractical to estimate the value of expected charges against earnings related to a corruption scandal.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA, as the state-run oil company is formally known, said it was exploring ways to revise the results to account for eventual corruption-related charges in a manner that was in line with securities regulations in Brazil and the United States.

The much-anticipated results may disappoint markets because they don't include what investors most want to know: a rough estimate of how badly alleged corruption over-valued the company's assets. Determining the value of those losses was the main reason why Petrobras delayed the release of its quarterly results for almost three months.

Third-quarter net profit was down about 9 percent from the same period a year earlier.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, a gauge of operating profit known as EBITDA, came in at 11.735 billion reais, down about 10 percent from a year earlier.

The results, which were supposed to have been released in November, were first delayed after auditor PricewaterhouseCooopers declined to certify Petrobras' accounts in the face of allegations of contract-fixing, bribery and political kickbacks.

According to police, prosecutors and the testimony of individuals indicted in the case, Petrobras executives appointed by politicians conspired with Brazil's largest construction and engineering companies to overcharge for refineries, ships and other goods and services.

Some of the excess revenue was then kicked back to executives, politicians and political parties as bribes and campaign contributions.

Police say that graft may have skimmed 3 percent or more off the value of Petrobras projects.

($1 = 2.5721 Brazilian reais) (Reporting by Jeb Blount and Asher Levine; Editing by Mark Potter)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 1-Greek PM Tsipras pushes on with radical change, markets tumble

Wed Jan 28, 2015 5:52am EST

* Sale of stake in Greece's biggest utility halted

* Markets fall as new government pledges "radical" change

* Tsipras pledges to avoid "destructive clashes" with creditors (Adds details, halt to privatisation)

By George Georgiopoulos and Angeliki Koutantou

ATHENS, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras promised "radical" change on Wednesday as his new government swiftly moved to roll back key parts of Greece's international bailout, prompting a third day of losses on financial markets.

A swift series of announcements signalled the newly installed government would not back down from its anti-austerity pledges, setting it on course for a clash with European partners, led by Germany, which has said it will not renegotiate the aid package needed to help Greece pay its debts.

Even before the first meeting of the new cabinet, ministers had hit the airwaves to reassure voters they would honour campaign pledges to roll back the tough economic policies imposed under Greece's 240-billion-euro bailout programme.

The planned sale of a 30 percent stake in Public Power Corporation of Greece (PPC), the country's biggest utility, was halted while ministers pledged to raise pensions for those on low incomes and reinstate some fired public sector workers.

"We are coming in to radically change the way that policies and administration are conducted in this country," Tsipras told ministers at their first cabinet meeting.

Financial markets have looked on nervously, with Greek 10-year bond yields up 50 basis points at 10.30 percent, the main Athens stock index down 4 percent and bank stocks down 12.6 percent to extend losses into a third day.

Saying that the mood towards Greece was changing since his leftwing party's sweeping election victory on Sunday, Tsipras said he would avoid antagonism with European Union and International Monetary Fund creditors.

"Our priority is also a new negotiation with our partners, seeking to reach a fair, viable and mutually beneficial solution so that the country exits the vicious circle of excessive debt and recession," he said.

ASSET SALES HALTED

He said the government would pursue balanced budgets but would not seek to build up "unrealistic surpluses" to service Greece's massive public debt of more than 175 percent of gross domestic product. He added that he expected a "productive" meeting on Friday with Jeroen Dijsselbloem, head of the euro zone finance ministers' group.

Priorities would be helping the weakest sections of society, with policies to attack endemic clientelism and corruption in the economy, reduce waste and cut Greece's record unemployment.

After announcing a halt to the privatisation of the port of Piraeus on Tuesday, for which China's Cosco Group and four other suitors had been shortlisted, the government said it would block the sale of a stake in the Public Power Corporation of Greece (PPC).

PPC,, which is 51 percent owned by the state, controls almost all of Greece's retail electricity market and accounts for about two thirds of the nation's power utility. Shares in the utility were down nearly 13 percent, while shares in Piraeus Port were down nearly 8 percent.

"We will halt immediately any privatisation of PPC," Energy Minister Panagiotis Lafazanis told Greek television a few hours before officially taking over his portfolio.

"There will be a new PPC which will help considerably the restoration of the country's productive activities," he said.

The previous government of former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras had passed legislation last year to spinoff part of PPC to liberalise the energy market as part of a privatisation plan agreed under the EU/IMF bailout.

In a sign of the potential sensitivity of the move to cancel the privatisations, Tsipras met China's ambassador to Athens, Zou Xiaoli on Tuesday to stress the importance of good relations with Beijing.

As well as announcing a halt to selling state assets, ministers have promised to reinstate laid-off public sector workers whose dismissal was ruled unconstitutional and restore cuts to pensions.

"What we have said during the election campaign will be our guide, starting with measures that do not have large spending impact," Deputy Social Security Minister Dimitris Stratoulis told Antenna TV. (Additional reporting by George Georgiopoulos and Angeliki Koutantou; writing by James Mackenzie; editing by Anna Willard)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Post-election uncertainty 'negative' for Greek rating - Moody's

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 27 Januari 2015 | 18.12

LONDON Tue Jan 27, 2015 5:36am EST

LONDON Jan 27 (Reuters) - The uncertainty created by Syriza's Greek election victory is negative for the country's credit rating, Moody's said on Tuesday, a day after a similar message from Standard and Poor's.

The "prolonged financial uncertainty is credit negative for Greece because it intensifies the country's refinancing and liquidity risks, undermines depositor confidence and has an adverse effect on economic growth prospects," Moody's said.

The firm currently rates Greece at Caa1 with a stable outlook. That is two notches below both S&P and Fitch which have it at B. (Reporting by Marc Jones)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Merkel congratulates Tsipras, hopes for closer ties with Greece

BERLIN Tue Jan 27, 2015 5:52am EST

BERLIN Jan 27 (Reuters) - Chancellor Angela Merkel sent a telegram of congratulations to Greece's new prime minister Alexis Tsipras on Tuesday, saying she wished him strength and success in a difficult position after his election victory on Sunday.

Merkel, whose government has insisted Athens fulfil its austerity pledges, also said she hoped she could "further deepen" the good relations between Germany and Greece, according to the telegram released by Merkel's office on Tuesday morning.

"You're taking over your office in a difficult time in which you face a great responsibility," Merkel wrote. "I hope to be able to firm up and deepen with you the traditionally good and deep friendship between our peoples.

"I wish you lots of strength and success in your future work as prime minister," added Merkel, who is seen by many in Greece as a principle cause of their austerity-induced suffering.

The influential Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung noted on Tuesday that Merkel had not had yet congratulated Tsipras, who was sworn in on Monday as the leader of a new hardline, anti-bailout government that wants to face down international lenders. (Reporting by Erik Kirschbaum; Editing by Alexandra Hudson)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 2-"Life-threatening" blizzard shuts down much of U.S. Northeast

Tue Jan 27, 2015 5:53am EST

* Snowstorms graphic - link.reuters.com/wur83w

* Blizzard may dump as much as 2 feet (60 cm) of snow

* Travel bans in five states including New York

* Trains, buses taken off roads in New York City, others (Updates with new figures and detail throughout)

By Jonathan Allen and Barbara Goldberg

NEW YORK, Jan 27 (Reuters) - A "life-threatening" blizzard barreled into the U.S. Northeast, affecting up to 20 percent of Americans as it kept workers and students housebound, halted thousands of flights and prompted officials to ban cars from roads and shut down public transport.

With memories still fresh of Sandy, a superstorm that ravaged the East Coast in 2012, governors of at least eight East Coast states declared emergencies. The storm could affect up to 60 million people in nearly a dozen states.

The National Weather Service (NWS) on Tuesday lowered snowfall forecasts, but still said a "life-threatening blizzard" could dump as many as 24 inches (61 cm) of snow.

Sustained winds in the area might hit 40 miles per hour (64 kph), NWS said, though gusts as high as 78 mph (126 kph) were recorded in Nantucket, Massachusetts.

Preliminary results from the NWS in Massachusetts showed as many as 13 inches of snow had fallen by early Tuesday in parts of the state. Manhattan's Central Park was covered by just over 6 inches and almost 15 inches fell on the Islip Airport on Long Island, according to unofficial NWS figures.

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo banned travel from 11 p.m. (0400 GMT) for all but emergency vehicles on roads in 13 counties, including New York City, suburban Westchester and Long Island, with the threat of a $300 fine for violators.

"If you are in your car and you are on any road, town, village, city, it doesn't matter, after 11 o'clock, you will technically be committing a crime," Cuomo said. "It could be a matter of life and death so caution is required."

Governors in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Rhode Island issued statewide driving bans for most motorists, bringing travel across the region to a standstill.

"Please stay home," New Jersey Governor Chris Christie told residents, ordering all but the most essential government workers in his state to stay at home from Monday afternoon until Wednesday at the earliest.

In New York's Long Island, Suffolk County Police said that a teenager had died late on Monday when he crashed into a lampost in the street where he was snow-tubing.

"SNOWMAGEDDON" ON SOCIAL MEDIA

Stuck at home, many Easterners turned to social media to give voice to their frustration, adopting such storm-related hashtags as #blizzardof2015, #Snowmageddon2015 and #Snowpocalypse.

"Across NE, millions are panicked they may lose internet and have to talk to their families. Trying hard to remember names. #Snowmageddon2015," tweeted Stuart Stevens.

The United Nations headquarters gave itself a day off on Tuesday. East Coast schools, including New York City -- the nation's largest public school system, serving 1 million students -- shut down. Universities, including Harvard and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, canceled classes.

Stock exchanges, including Intercontinental Exchange Inc's New York Stock Exchange unit, Nasdaq OMX Group, and BATS Global Markets, said they expected to stay open for normal operating hours on Tuesday.

The last time bad weather closed the stock markets was in October 2012 when Sandy hit the East Coast with flooding, punishing winds and widespread power outages.

The brutal weather paralyzed the New York City metropolitan area, with a shutdown of all subway, bus and commuter rail services on Metro-North Railroad and Long Island Rail Road. It was the first time the city subway had been halted due to snow.

New Jersey Transit and the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority said on their websites that bus, rail and other services would also be suspended on Tuesday.

Vacationers and business travelers faced headaches as airlines canceled thousands of U.S. flights, with Boston and New York airports most heavily affected, according to flight-tracking service FlightAware.

New York authorities said "virtually all" flights at LaGuardia Airport on Tuesday would be canceled and cancellations at John F. Kennedy International Airport would be "significant."

Coastal flood warnings were issued from Delaware to Maine, and National Weather Service officials in Boston reported early on Tuesday that waves just a few miles outside of Boston Harbor approached 20 feet (6 meters).

Amtrak suspended rail services on Tuesday between New York and Boston, and into New York state, Vermont, Massachusetts and Maine.

The biggest snowfall on record in New York City came during the storm of Feb. 11-12, 2006, dropping 26.9 inches (68 cm), according to the city's Office of Emergency Management. (Additional reporting by Curtis Skinner; Editing by Louise Ireland)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

EMERGING MARKETS-Central Europe wary after Greek vote; Russian assets tumble

Written By Unknown on Senin, 26 Januari 2015 | 18.12

By Chris Vellacott

LONDON Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:40am EST

LONDON Jan 26 (Reuters) - Russia's rouble fell 2.5 percent on Monday as oil prices resumed their downward spiral and the risk of more western sanctions grew, while Greece's election outcome subdued central European markets.

While the rouble slipped to 10-day lows, dollar-denominated Moscow stocks fell 4 percent and Russia's $1.5 billion dollar bond maturing 2043 fell nearly 2 cents to trade at 85.8 cents in the dollar.

U.S. President Barack Obama, reacting to renewed violence in eastern Ukraine, said Washington was considering all options short of military action to isolate Russia. The European Union has called its member states' foreign ministers to an emergency meeting.

"(Russian) markets are down as oil prices have fallen back and there has been news about the escalating crisis in eastern Ukraine which the market had overlooked in recent days," said Bernd Berg, strategist at Societe Generale in London.

Oil prices slid more than 1 percent after the victory of leftist party Syriza in Greece and the euro fell to 11-year lows against the dollar. Syriza aims to overturn much of the austerity imposed as a condition of bailouts in 2010, prompting fears of a new bout of financial instability in Europe.

Shares in Greece -- which MSCI included in its emerging markets index in 2013 -- initially fell 5.2 percent, led by banking stocks, but later trimmed losses in volatile trade .

Anxiety spilled over into central Europe with Budapest down 1 percent and Warsaw off 0.6 percent.

"We see some initial nervousness after the Greek outcome but a Syriza win was mainly priced in so the main focus in emerging markets is on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting and policy decisions in Hungary and Russia. We believe the market will quickly get over this and look at the Fed," Societe Generale's Berg said.

He said he was "constructive" on Hungarian and Polish local bonds as pressure grows on central banks in both countries to cut interest rates. The forint fell 0.7 percent against the euro before Tuesday's central bank meeting that is expected to leave rates on hold but could send a dovish signal.

Most emerging currencies fell versus the firm dollar with the lira and rand down 0.4 and 0.7 percent respectively . Weaker oil and Boko Haram violence continued to knock Nigeria's currency, which fell 1 percent and revisited record lows reached last week.

For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/jus35t

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/weh36s

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging Europe performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/jun28s

For GRAPHIC on MSCI frontier index performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/zyh97s

For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see

For TURKISH market report, see

For RUSSIAN market report, see ) (Additional reporting by Sujata Rao; Editing by Toby Chopra)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Economists up forecast for 2015 Brazil inflation to 6.99 pct

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

EU open to Greek debt extension, not forgiveness

By Philip Blenkinsop

BRUSSELS Mon Jan 26, 2015 5:46am EST

BRUSSELS Jan 26 (Reuters) - Europe showed a willingness on Monday to give Athens more time to pay back its debts, but little sign that it would yield to a new Greek government's demands of debt forgiveness.

European Union leaders and policymakers responded to Greek anti-bailout party Syriza's election victory on Sunday with warnings that a debt restructuring for Greece would send the wrong message to other euro zone members.

Euro zone finance ministers gather in Brussels on Monday afternoon to consider how to deal with Greece after the change of government, especially given that the existing Greek bailout programme expires on February 28.

The euro fell to an 11-year low as Syriza's victory set Athens on collision course with international lenders and potentially threatened its place in the single currency.

Without a bailout plan Athens will not be eligible for the European Central Bank's plan of government bond purchases and will have problems financing itself on the market. If Greece refuses to service its debt owed to the euro zone, private investors are unlikely to lend to it either, officials said.

Euro zone finance ministers are likely to signal they could extend the current bailout for Athens to give the new government time to negotiate economic policy with international lenders and talk about more time to pay back what Greece owes them.

Finnish Prime Minister Alexander Stubb said his country was ready to discuss an extension if the new government can commit to agreed contracts and promised structural reforms.

"We will not forgive loans but we are ready to discuss extending the bailout programme or maturities ... But this will not change the fact that Greece must continue economic reforms," Stubb told reporters.

European Central Bank board member Benoit Coeure said that the ECB would not take part in any debt cut for Greece, but that changes to the debt maturities were possible.

"He (Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras) has to pay, those are the European rules of the game," Coeure told Europe 1 radio. "There is no room for unilateral action in Europe, that doesn't exclude a discussion, for example, on the rescheduling of this debt."

It was a message echoed across much of Europe, particularly in Germany, whose chancellor has led calls for budgetary rigour.

Germany's top-selling Bild newspapers led with "Greeks elect euro nightmare", the next page showing Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras punching the air next to the headline "What is this victory punch going to cost us?"

It added that Germany had contributed 80 billion euros so far to the 240 billion euro Greek bailout package.

Germany's EU Commissioner, Guenther Oettinger, said a debt restructuring for Greece would send the wrong message to other countries in the euro zone.

"If we cut debt (for Greece), that would give the wrong signal to Portugal or Ireland, Cyprus or Spain," Oettinger told German radio Deutschlandfunk, adding that the new government in Athens had to stick to agreements with its euro zone partners. (Additional reporting by Leigh Thomas in Paris, Stephen Brown in Berlin and Jussi Rosendahl in Helsinki; editing by Jan Strupczewski and Anna Willard)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 2-Euro zone borrowing costs plunge to new lows on ECB QE plan

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 23 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Fri Jan 23, 2015 5:47am EST

(Updates with inflation expectations, comments)

By Marius Zaharia

LONDON Jan 23 (Reuters) - Borrowing rates for euro zone countries collapsed to new record lows on Friday as investors snapped up government bonds based on the European Central Bank's QE shopping list.

To boost the ailing euro zone economy and prevent deflation from setting in, the ECB said it will buy 60 billion euros of assets a month from March, focusing mainly on sovereign bonds.

The 18-month quantitative easing programme is already surpassing initial expectations for 500-700 billion euros of stimulus and could even be extended. The ECB will also bear 20 percent of the risk of holding the debt, with the rest taken by the national central banks, surprising some investors who did not expect any mutualisation of risk in the euro zone.

Bond purchases will cover maturities of up to 30 years -- longer than many in the market had expected.

"The new program is massive, and we are optimistic about its potential impact," said Jon Jonsson, senior portfolio manager in the global fixed income team at Neuberger Berman.

Spanish 10-year bond yields fell to new record lows of 1.25 percent, while Italian yields hit 1.41 percent. Both fell more than 10 basis points on the day.

German 10-year Bund yields, which set the standard for euro zone borrowing costs, hit new lows as well at 0.312 percent, but the gap between the yields on top-rated debt and lower-rated bonds narrowed sharply to some of the tightest levels since the early years of the currency union.

Even German 30-year yields fell below 1 percent for the first time, while two-year yields traded as low as minus 0.18 percent. Italian and Spanish 30-year yields were 25 bps lower at 2.62 percent and 2.38 percent.

"The inclusion of the very long end in the eligibility pool should benefit the periphery in particular over the medium term," said Orlando Green, rate strategist at Credit Agricole.

REAL IMPACT

In a sign of what investors believe the impact of QE will be on the real economy, market-implied inflation expectations rose sharply. But they still suggested price growth would remain below the ECB's target in the coming decade.

The euro five-year, five-year breakeven forward , which shows where investors expect 2025 inflation forecasts to be in 2020, rose to 1.77 percent, some 11 bps above levels seen before the ECB meeting.

"The ECB's QE package has met the market's crucial test of 'whatever it takes' but the question that remains now is will it be enough to reflate real economies," said Lena Komileva of G+ Economics.

Greek yields were steady around 9 percent as uncertainty remained high before this weekend's elections.

The ECB's purchases will only include junk-rated bonds if the issuer is in an international financial assistance programme. The vote is likely to be won by the far-left Syriza party, which promised to tear up the bailout programme, end austerity and renegotiate the debt owed to the European Union.

Also limiting the QE impact on Greece is the limit the ECB imposed on purchases, which is 33 percent of national bond issuance. The ECB already holds a large amount of Greek bonds, so it will not be able to buy new ones until June when some of them expire -- and even then only if Athens is in a new bailout programme.

But QE will leave investors scrambling for returns on their money, and if Syriza can reach a compromise with Berlin and Brussels, high-yielding Greek bonds are bound to rally.

"All parties involved are interested in the negotiations being successful," said Christoph Rieger, rate strategist at Commerzbank. "In the end, there will be a third aid package and further debt relief. A Grexit or a second debt restructuring with private creditors remains very unlikely." (Editing by Nigel Stephenson/Rurh Pitchford)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Merkel- reform drive everywhere must continue after ECB move

FLORENCE, Italy Fri Jan 23, 2015 5:49am EST

FLORENCE, Italy Jan 23 (Reuters) - Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Friday that the fervor for structural reforms everywhere in the euro zone, and not just in Italy, cannot be slowed down by the European Central Bank's decision to launch a government bond-buying programme.

"It's valid not only for Italy, but for everyone, that the ECB decision cannot be allowed to put the brakes on the fervor for reforms," Merkel said at a news conference in Florence, Italy with Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi.

Merkel also said that she did not want to comment directly on the ECB's decision because the central bank is independent.

She said, however, the ECB's move means there is a need for governments in the euro zone countries to work with even more determination to clear out of the way all barriers to growth.

(Reporting by Andreas Rinke in Florence; writing by Erik Kirschbaum and Michael Nienaber in Berlin)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, bonds lifted by QE; oil up after Saudi king dies

Fri Jan 23, 2015 5:57am EST

  * European shares have best week since 2011 on ECB QE,      * Euro slumps to 11-year low, bond yields reach new lows      * Crude oil rises after death of Saudi King      * Weekend Greek elections next trial for struggling euro        By Marc Jones      LONDON, Jan 23 (Reuters) - Stocks and bonds surged worldwide  and the euro sank to an 11- year-low on Friday, the day after  the European Central Bank announced a quantitative easing plan.  Oil rose following the death of the king of Saudi Arabia.      European shares were on course for their strongest week  since late 2011 and emerging markets headed for their best in  almost 10 months. Italian, Spanish bond yields dropped to record  lows.       The ECB announced on Thursday a programme to buy government  bonds, which will pump roughly a trillion euros into the  stagnant euro zone economy. Europe's  FTSEurofirst 300 index responded with a 1.4 percent  gain to 1,474 points, a seven-year high.       "What the market is focusing on is the potentially open-  ended element of the programme, and what we also see this  morning is that euro zone data has been slightly better than  expected," said Emile Cardon, the euro zone strategist at  Rabobank."      Purchasing manager surveys showed the euro zone economy  began 2015 in better shape than expected, although companies are  still cutting prices. Markit's Composite Flash reading bounced  to a five-month high of 52.2 from December's 51.4, beating  forecasts of 51.8.       "We are moving away from the lows towards the end of last  year, but the actual rate of growth being signalled is still  moderate," said Rob Dobson, senior economist at survey compiler  Markit.      Wall Street, which has being losing its advantage over  European markets in recent weeks, was expected to open little  changed later in the day. It reporting season has been mixed so  far.                      SAUDI KING'S DEATH      Asia markets also rallied overnight. MSCI's broadest index  of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose to an  eight-week high. Japan's Nikkei gained 1 percent,  Australia and South Korea made sizeable gains, and Indonesia's  stock market scored a record high.      One reason was signs of stabilisation in commodity markets  after their battering in the second half of last year. Crude oil  prices rose after Saudi Arabia - the world's biggest oil  exporter - announced the death of King Abdullah.       U.S. crude gained 50 cents to $46.80 a barrel and  Brent climbed to $49.27, although both were still heading for  weekly losses. Gold was near a five-month  high.       Market reaction to an HSBC flash PMI was limited. It showed  China's manufacturing growth stalling for a second straight  month in January and deflationary pressures mounting. That could  reinforce bets China will roll out more stimulus measures.         The dollar was up 0.1 percent at 118.60 yen, on track  for a 0.8 percent gain on the week.       The Australian dollar, whose commodity and trade links make  it sensitive to Chinese data, fell to a 5 1/2-year low of  $0.7980. Pressure on the Aussie has been rising since a  surprise rate cut by the Bank of Canada this week. Many think it  could be next.      The euro, meanwhile, slumped as low as $1.1260. The single  currency was bracing for elections on Sunday in Greece, where  the Syriza party leads in opinion polls. A victory by Syriza,  which opposes the terms of the Greek bailout, could cause a  standoff with Greece's lenders and drive it from the euro zone.         Greek 10-year bond yields were the only ones  in the euro zone to rise on Friday.                   (Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore and  Robert Gibbons in New York; Editing by Larry King)  
  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 2-India's Suzlon to sell German unit for $1.16 bln

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 22 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Thu Jan 22, 2015 5:16am EST

* Centerbridge Partners agrees to buy Senvion

* Suzlon will use cash to pay down debts

* Shares fall 7.5 pct (Adds numbers on debt, analyst quote, updates shares)

By Tommy Wilkes and Devidutta Tripathy

NEW DELHI/MUMBAI, Jan 22 (Reuters) - Indian wind turbine maker Suzlon Energy Ltd said it had agreed to sell its German unit Senvion SE to buyout firm Centerbridge Partners for 1 billion euros ($1.16 billion), in an all-cash deal that will help the group reduce its debts.

The companies have signed a binding agreement, which also has a future earn out clause of an additional 50 million euros, they said in a statement on Thursday.

Loss-making Suzlon has been under pressure over the last few years due to a slowdown in global turbine sales and a debt pile that has grown to 165 billion rupees ($2.68 billion). It was forced to restructure $1.8 billion of debt after defaulting on a $200 million convertible bond redemption in 2012.

The company will use proceeds from the Senvion sale to cut its debts by 60 billion rupees, Suzlon Chairman Tulsi Tanti told TV channel CNBC TV18, and to focus on higher growth markets like India and the United States.

Shares in Suzlon opened up more than 4 percent on Thursday before falling sharply, and were changing hands 7.5 percent lower by 0931 GMT against a 0.2 percent rise in the benchmark .

"The driver of Suzlon's valuation was this company. What will remain, if you sell that?" said Daljeet S Kohli, head of research at brokerage IndiaNivesh. "It's like saying you sell your house to retire the home loan and say I am richer. The fact is that you are on the roads."

On Monday, Suzlon said it had not approved the sale of Senvion while on Jan. 7 the company had denied it was in talks with potential buyers, calling a media report "baseless and false".

Senvion, previously known as REpower Systems SE, was bought by Suzlon in a series of tranches totalling $1.4 billion that gave the Indian company full control in 2011.

Together with Senvion, Suzlon was the world's fifth largest wind turbine manufacturer. Suzlon's Tanti said ex-Senvion the company has an order book of 1,500 megawatts.

Centerbridge declined to comment on the deal but a source familiar with the transaction said roughly 550 euros would be put up by the private equity firm as equity. ($1 = 0.8617 euros) ($1 = 61.6700 Indian rupees) (Additional reporting by Arno Schuetze in FRANKFURT and Indu Lal in MUMBAI; Editing by Clara Ferreira Marques, Gopakumar Warrier and Himani Sarkar)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

EMERGING MARKETS-Emerging stocks at 7-wk highs on ECB hopes; Ukraine bonds sink

By Chris Vellacott

LONDON Thu Jan 22, 2015 5:28am EST

LONDON Jan 22 (Reuters) - Anticipation of a sizeable euro zone bond-buying programme boosted emerging market assets on Thursday, though Ukraine's sovereign bonds sold off as its finance minister mooted restructuring talks with bondholders.

Reports the European Central Bank would launch quantitative easing amounting to 50 billion euros ($58 billion) per month from March spurred emerging European bourses higher, with Warsaw up 0.4 percent. Prague and Budapest rose 0.9 percent.

"We have seen a bit of a rally on the back of expectations from the ECB so let's hope they deliver. Fifty billion euros a month is a lot and will be received positively by emerging markets. The question is how will they communicate that, will there be conditions attached," said Lars Christensen, head of emerging markets at Danske Bank.

The MSCI emerging equity index rose 0.2 percent to trade at seven-week highs after buoyant trading in Asia.

However, with violence persisting in eastern Ukraine and the government appearing to seek debt restructuring, its dollar bonds fell. The 2022 issue sank 1.5 cents to 53.5 cents in the dollar while the 2023 bond dropped 0.9 cents, breaking below 50 cents in the dollar for the first time.

Ukraine's yield spread over U.S. Treasuries -- the premium investors demand to hold its debt over safe-haven bonds -- widened 80 basis points to a record high on the EMBI Global Index

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday, Ukraine's finance minister Natalie Jaresko said the government had requested a longer-term funding programme from the International Monetary Fund and plans talks with bondholders.

The rouble was weaker against the dollar, hurt by international tensions over Russia's role in Ukraine as well as the oil price rout.

With Brent crude dropping 0.5 percent, Nigeria's naira continued its spiral downwards, falling 2.9 percent against the dollar.

Nigerian currency dealers agreed on Wednesday to halt trading if there is a more than 2 percent intraday slide in the naira after it ended at a record closing low for a second straight day despite central bank intervention.

Turkey's lira was 0.2 percent lower following comments on Wednesday from President Tayyip Erdogan that the central bank's 50-basis point rate cut was not big enough.

Egyptian stocks rose to 6-1/2-year highs, buoyed by falling oil prices which have allowed the central bank to start cutting interest rates and boost growth.

For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/jus35t

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/weh36s

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging Europe performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/jun28s

For GRAPHIC on MSCI frontier index performance 2015, see link.reuters.com/zyh97s

For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see

For TURKISH market report, see

For RUSSIAN market report, see ) ($1 = 0.8607 euros) (Additional reporting by Sujata Rao; Editing by Ruth Pitchford)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

CORRECTED-PM says Russian banks to get capital boost via OFZ by end-Jan- TASS

MOSCOW Thu Jan 22, 2015 5:29am EST

MOSCOW Jan 22 (Reuters) - Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said on Thursday a government programme to recapitalise Russia's banking system using OFZ treasury bonds should be completed by the end of the month, TASS news agency reported.

Medvedev also told a government meeting that Moscow would honour all its social obligations despite the economic crisis, the agency added. (Reporting by Gabriela Baczynska and Katya Golubkova, editing by Elizabeth Piper)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 1-Russia denies its troops are in Ukraine

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 21 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Wed Jan 21, 2015 5:29am EST

(Combines stories, adds quotes)

MOSCOW Jan 21 (Reuters) - Russia denied new accusations by Kiev that it had sent soldiers and weapons to east Ukraine and held out hope of progress at talks on the conflict in Berlin on Wednesday despite renewed fighting.

Kiev accused Russian regular forces of attacking its troops in eastern Ukraine on Tuesday, one of its boldest assertions yet of direct Russian military involvement in the conflict between pro-Russian separatists and Ukrainian government forces.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow had seen no evidence to back up such accusations and others made in the past few months.

"I say every time: if you allege this so confidently, present the facts. But nobody can present the facts, or doesn't want to - which it is, I don't know," he told a news conference when asked about the accusations.

"So before demanding from us that we stop doing something, please present proof that we have done it."

Lavrov did, however, acknowledge that the pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine hold more territory than assigned to them under a ceasefire agreement reached last September.

He said Russia had received assurances from the separatists that they would retreat to the separation lines agreed last September in the Belarussian capital, Minsk.

Kiev accused the separatists on Tuesday of seizing more than 500 square km (194 square miles) of territory beyond the agreed separation lines.

Lavrov said the conflict in east Ukraine had to be solved with respect for the country's integrity, underlining Moscow's support for the two separatist-controlled regions in the east to remain in Ukraine but with more autonomy.

He expressed hope that talks in Berlin later on Wednesday involving Lavrov, the Ukrainian, French and German foreign ministers would make progress towards holding a summit of their countries' leaders on the crisis.

"We hope the contacts to be held in a foreseeable future at various levels and in various formats will help move ahead in this direction," he said. (Reporting by Gabriela Baczynska, Lidia Kelly and Thomas Grove, Writing by Timothy Heritage, editing by Elizabeth Piper)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Fitch: Malaysia Budget Revision Highlights Structural Weaknesses

Wed Jan 21, 2015 5:47am EST

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) SINGAPORE, January 21 (Fitch) The upward revision to Malaysia's 2015 fiscal deficit target amid sharply falling crude oil prices shows that the country's dependence on petroleum-linked revenues remains a key sovereign credit weakness, says Fitch Ratings. Fitch maintains a 'Negative' outlook on Malaysia's long-term issuer default ratings, which means that we are more likely than not to downgrade the ratings within the next 12-18 months. Fitch expects to conduct a full review of Malaysia's ratings before the end of July 2015. The government cut its 2015 GDP growth forecast on 20 January 2015 to 4.5-5.5%, from 5-6%, while the deficit target was raised to 3.2% of GDP from 3%. Malaysia's macroeconomic outlook has deteriorated after the greater-than-50% drop in international oil prices since June 2014. The country is the largest net exporter of petroleum and natural-gas products in south-east Asia, with petroleum accounting for roughly 30% of fiscal revenues. Fitch has said before that slippage in the government's fiscal targets would be credit negative for the country. These revisions underscore the vulnerability of Malaysia's economy and credit profile to sharp movements in commodity prices; the high share of revenues linked to oil- and gas-linked revenues is a structural weakness for the sovereign. The sharp decline in energy prices also is likely to have an impact on Malaysia's external accounts. While Prime Minister Najib Razak has stated that he expects the current account to remain in surplus, the risks to the surplus are to the downside. The emergence of twin fiscal and current account deficits will remain a rating sensitivity for Malaysia. Such a scenario would risk greater volatility in capital flows to a degree that could become disruptive for the economy. Malaysia's external liquidity has already weakened - official reserves declined USD16bn (12%) between August and December 2014. The government reiterated in its budget update that fiscal reform and consolidation will continue, despite the increasingly uncertain macroeconomic outlook. However, with the upward revision to the 2015 deficit target, Fitch maintains that further consolidation measures might be required to meet the government's target of achieving a balanced budget by 2020. Malaysia's rising contingent sovereign liabilities also are likely to remain a credit weakness. The financial position of 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) - a state-owned investment company - has become a source of uncertainty. Fitch views 1MDB as a close contingent liability of the sovereign because of the nature of its operations and leadership, as well as explicit sovereign guarantees of some MYR5.8bn of the entity's MYR41.9bn debt (at end-March 2014). Contacts: Sagarika Chandra Associate Director Sovereigns +852 2263 9921 Fitch (Hong Kong) Limited 2801 Tower Two, Lippo Centre 89 Queensway Hong Kong Justin Patrie Senior Director +65 6796 7232 Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, Email: leslie.tan@fitchratings.com; Wai-Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email: wailun.wan@fitchratings.com. The above article originally appeared as a post on the Fitch Wire credit market commentary page. The original article can be accessed at www.fitchratings.com. All opinions expressed are those of Fitch Ratings. ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: here. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

German industry chief warns against ECB disappointing markets on QE

BERLIN Wed Jan 21, 2015 5:52am EST

BERLIN Jan 21 (Reuters) - The head of Germany's BDI industry association said on Wednesday it would be bad news if the European Central Bank did not announce a government bond-buying programme on Thursday to boost the euro zone economy, because markets were expecting such a move.

"If the programme were not to be announced, it would be bad, because the markets are already expecting it," said BDI chief Ulrich Grillo, adding that it would be a "big risk" if the ECB backed down from the plan for so-called Quantitative Easing.

He echoed German Chancellor Angela Merkel's warning that euro zone states should press ahead with structural reforms, saying: "Monetary policy alone is not effective." Grillo said the impact of QE on German industry would be "limited" and it was questionable whether it would unleash more investment. (Reporting by Rene Wagner; Writing by Stephen Brown; Editing by Madeline Chambers)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

UPDATE 1-Ukraine central bank official is optimistic about outcome of IMF talks

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 20 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Tue Jan 20, 2015 4:32am EST

KIEV Jan 20 (Reuters) - A Ukrainian central bank official said on Tuesday he felt optimistic about the outcome of negotiations with the International Monetary Fund in Kiev which Ukraine hopes will lead to further financial aid.

Ukraine, whose economy has been pushed close to bankruptcy by a pro-Russian separatist war in the east and is now facing huge debt repayments, has asked for the existing IMF programme to be expanded to plug a $15 billion funding gap.

"The talks are constructive. Cooperation with the IMF is fruitful. I feel optimism about the possible outcome," the First Deputy Head of Ukraine's central bank Oleksander Pisaruk told journalists.

The IMF team arrived in Kiev on Jan. 8 for the latest round of talks, which are expected to last until the end of the month.

The existing IMF package is worth $17 billion and has so far paid out $4.6 billion in two tranches. The Fund along with Ukraine's other Western backers has said that any extra financial help will hinge on Kiev's ability to implement long-promised reforms. (Reporting by Natalia Zinets; Writing by Alessandra Prentice; Editing by Richard Balmforth)


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Investment vehicle eyes flagship Sahara hotels in $2 bln bailout for founder Roy

By Sumeet Chatterjee and Devidutta Tripathy

MUMBAI Tue Jan 20, 2015 4:42am EST

MUMBAI Jan 20 (Reuters) - An investment vehicle lining up a $2 billion package to help bail the boss of India's troubled Sahara out of jail said it expects to ultimately take control of landmark hotel assets like New York's Plaza after the conglomerate fails to repay lenders.

Saransh Sharma, a San Jose, California-based investor leading the rescue plan, told Reuters in an interview he doesn't think Sahara will be able to pay off the more than $1.5 billion it plans to borrow to cover bail terms for Subrata Roy, one of India's most flamboyant businessmen. Sharma said that will help his fund, Mirach Capital Group, take over the hotels at a bargain price.

Roy has been held in a New Delhi jail for more than 10 months over Sahara's failure to comply with a court order to refund billions of dollars invested in outlawed bonds.

"Let's say they somehow manage to make the interest payments, what is the probability of them coming up for the principal? The answer is slim to none in my opinion," Sharma said. Mirach Capital was set up specifically for the Sahara transaction, he said.

"It is an indirect way to take over these assets and not just take over these assets, to take over these assets at a valuation which would be discounted to the true market value."

Sahara said earlier this month that it was in talks with Mirach Capital, which says unidentified wealthy families in the U.S. and Britain are among its investors, hoping to raise the fund by remortgaging for one year its three overseas hotels, which include Grosvenor House in London.

Sahara is confident of meeting its repayment obligations to lenders using hotels earnings, its head of corporate finance Sandeep Wadhwa told Reuters. He added Sahara was in the process of seeking transaction approval from India's central bank.

India's Supreme Court, which last year asked Sahara to pay $1.6 billion to release Roy on bail, this month authorised the group to raise funds by remortgaging its overseas hotels.

Sharma, who said the talks with Sahara are exclusive and that he has visited Roy in jail 9 times, said the amount for Sahara transaction was already in an escrow bank account.

Besides the roughly $1.5 billion loan against overseas hotels, Mirach Capital will also make a $450 million equity investment in two of Sahara's India properties, he said.

The vehicle has no previous public record of closing a large financing deal. According to its internet site, its investors are "family offices" operating in diverse sectors including real estate and aviation. (Editing by Kenneth Maxwell)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Russia says sanctions decision shows EU not changing "unfriendly course"

MOSCOW Tue Jan 20, 2015 5:30am EST

MOSCOW Jan 20 (Reuters) - The European Union has shown it is not ready to change its "unfriendly course" by leaving in place economic sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine crisis, the Russian Foreign Ministry said on Tuesday.

The EU said after a meeting on Monday that any alleviation of sanctions against Russia would happen only if there were improvements on the ground in eastern Ukraine.

"(This) only confirms the fact that the EU is still not ready to alter its unfriendly course or to give an objective assessment of the Kiev authorities' actions," the ministry said in a statement published on its website.


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Global nuclear decommissioning cost seen underestimated, may spiral

Written By Unknown on Senin, 19 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Mon Jan 19, 2015 4:43am EST

* Decommissioning cost estimates range widely

* Experts see IEA's $100 billion estimate as too low

* Waste disposal and long-term storage not included

* Adequate provisioning more important than cost estimate

By Nina Chestney and Geert De Clercq

LONDON/PARIS, Jan 19 (Reuters) - German utility E.ON's breakup has led to worries that funds set aside for decommissioning reactors will not suffice, but globally the cost of unwinding nuclear is uncertain as estimates range widely.

As ageing first-generation reactors close, the true cost of decommissioning will be crucial for the future of the nuclear industry, already ailing following the 2011 Fukushima disaster and competition from cheap shale gas, falling oil prices and a flood of renewable energy from wind and solar.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said late last year that almost 200 of the 434 reactors in operation around the globe would be retired by 2040, and estimated the cost of decommissioning them at more than $100 billion.

But many experts view this figure as way too low, because it does not include the cost of nuclear waste disposal and long-term storage and because decommissioning costs - often a decade or more away - vary hugely per reactor and by country.

"Half a billion dollars per reactor for decommissioning is no doubt vastly underestimated," said Mycle Schneider, a Paris-based nuclear energy consultant.

The IEA's head of power generation analysis, Marco Baroni, said that even excluding waste disposal costs, the $100 billion estimate was indicative, and that the final cost could be as much as twice as high. He added that decommissioning costs per reactor can vary by a factor of four.

Decommissioning costs vary according to reactor type and size, location, the proximity and availability of disposal facilities, the intended future use of the site, and the condition of the reactor at the time of decommissioning.

Although technology used for decommissioning might gradually become cheaper, the cost of final waste depositories is largely unknown and costs might spiral over time. Reactor lifespans are measured in decades, which means financing costs and provisions depend strongly on unpredictable interest rate levels.

"The IEA estimate is, without question, just a figure drawn out of the air. The reality is, the costs are quite phenomenal," said Paul Dorfman, honorary senior research associate at the Energy Institute, University College London.

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission estimates that the cost of decommissioning in the United States - which has some 100 reactors - ranges from $300 million to $400 million per reactor, but some reactors might cost much more.

France's top public auditor and the nuclear safety authority estimate the country's decommissioning costs at between 28 billion and 32 billion euros ($32-37 billion).

German utilities - such as E.ON, which last month said it would split in two, spinning off power plants to focus on renewable energy and power grids - have put aside 36 billion euros. .

Britain's bill for decommissioning and waste disposal is now estimated at 110 billion pounds ($167 billion) over the next 100 years, double the 50 billion pound estimate made 10 years ago.

Japanese government estimates put the decommissioning cost of the country's 48 reactors at around $30 billion, but this is seen as conservative. Russia has 33 reactors and costs are seen ranging from $500 million to $1 billion per reactor.

The IEA's Baroni said the issue was not the exact cost per reactor.

"What matters is whether enough funds have been set aside to provide for it," he said. ($1 = 0.6588 pounds) ($1 = 0.8601 euros) (Additional reporting by Vera Eckert in Frankfurt, Svetlana Burmistrova in Moscow, Scott DiSavino in New York and Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo; Editing by Dale Hudson)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

TABLE-Economists raise forecast for 2015 Brazil inflation for third week

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.


18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

S&P downgrades eight US oil and gas firms

Mon Jan 19, 2015 5:48am EST

LONDON, Jan 19 (IFR) - Standard & Poor's has downgraded eight US oil and gas exploration and production companies after the ratings agency completed a review of the sector in light of the steep decline in oil prices.

The firms were WPX Energy, Energy XXI, Warren Resources, Swift Energy, Midstates Petroleum, Magnum Hunter Resources, Black Elk Energy Offshore Operations and Rooster Energy.

The agency has also lowered the outlook of 12 additional companies, while placing two more - Apache Corp and Breitburn Energy Partners - on CreditWatch negative.

The collapse in the oil price has put enormous strain on the US high-yield market, which has seen an influx of capex intensive energy companies raising bonds in recent years.

Despite the recent pressure, S&P said it found liquidity to be adequate at most companies for the next 12 months. This is because a number of the lower-rated companies have already hedged, many refinanced their revolving credit facility drawings ahead of the price drop, and most producers are cutting back their capex plans to preserve liquidity.

S&P warns that if prices don't recover next year, however, some of these firms could face "material liquidity pressures".

The downgrades are as follows:

WPX Energy from BB+/Negative to BB/Stable.

Energy XXI from B+/Negative to B/Negative.

Warren Resources from B/Stable to B-/Stable.

Swift Energy from B/Stable to B-/Stable.

Midstates Petroleum from B/Stable to B-/Negative.

Magnum Hunter Resources from B-/Negative to CCC+/Negative.

Black Elk Energy Offshore Operations from CCC+/Negative to CCC-/Negative

Rooster Energy from CCC+/Developing to CCC-/Negative.

(Reporting by Robert Smith. Editing by Alex Chambers and Luzette Strauss.)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Obama speech to call for closing tax loopholes

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 18 Januari 2015 | 18.12

WASHINGTON Sat Jan 17, 2015 8:00pm EST

WASHINGTON Jan 17 (Reuters) - President Barack Obama's State of the Union address will propose closing multibillion-dollar tax loopholes used by the wealthiest Americans, imposing a fee on big financial firms and then using the revenue to benefit the middle class, senior administration officials said on Saturday.

Obama's annual address to a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night will continue his theme of income equality, and the administration is optimistic it will find some bipartisan support in the Republican-dominated House of Representatives and Senate.

The proposals administration officials listed on Saturday may still generate significant opposition from the Republicans because they would increase taxes.

In a conference call with reporters to preview the taxation aspect of Obama's address, one official said some of the ideas the president is outlining already have "clear congressional bipartisan support or are ideas that are actually bipartisan in their nature."

Obama's proposals call for reforming tax rules on trust funds, which the administration called "the single largest capital gains tax loophole" because it allows assets to be passed down untaxed to heirs of the richest Americans.

They also would raise the capital gains and dividends rates to 28 percent, the level during the 1980s Republican presidency of Ronald Reagan.

As a way of managing financial risk that could threaten the U.S. economy, Obama also wants to impose a fee of seven basis points on the liabilities of U.S. financial firms with assets of more than $50 billion, making it more costly for them to borrow heavily.

The changes on trust funds and capital gains, along with the fee on financial firms, would generate about $320 billion over 10 years, which would more than pay for benefits Obama wants to provide for the middle class, the official said.

The benefits mentioned on Saturday would include a $500 credit for families with two working spouses, tripling the tax credit for child care to $3,000 per child, consolidating education tax incentives and making it easier for workers to save automatically for retirement if their employer does not offer a plan.

The price tag on those benefits, plus a plan for free tuition at community colleges that Obama announced last week, would be about $235 billion, the official said. Specifics on the figures will be included in the budget Obama will send to Congress on Feb. 2.

"We're proposing more than enough to offset the new incremental costs of our proposals without increasing the deficit," the administration official said.

The State of the Union address is the president's annual chance to lay out his plans. With Republicans controlling both chambers of Congress after big wins in midterm elections in November, Obama, a Democrat, faces an uphill task turning much of his vision into legislation. (Writing by Bill Trott; Editing by Frances Kerry and James Dalgleish)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Madagascar's economy shows signs of recovery, needs reforms-IMF

ANTANANARIVO Sun Jan 18, 2015 3:34am EST

ANTANANARIVO Jan 18 (Reuters) - Madagascar's economy showed early signs of recovery in 2014 with growth estimated at 3 percent, which could rise to 5 percent in 2015, but political instability, weak institutions and weak governance are hurting prospects, the IMF said.

The Indian Ocean island's economy was battered after a 2009 coup that drove away donors and investors. A peaceful 2013 election has brought back some aid, but the nation is still struggling to impose stable government and economic reforms.

The cabinet resigned last week and a new prime minister, Jean Ravelonarivo, an air force commander and businessman, was sworn in on Saturday. But his appointment faces a legal challenge, which could prolong efforts to pick new ministers.

"In a fragile environment, the uncertainty linked to political instability, weak institutions, and weak governance has been eroding the foundation for solid economic growth," the International Monetary Fund said in a report on its website.

"There are early signs of an economic recovery in 2014, with growth estimated at 3 percent and December inflation under 7 percent," it said, projecting growth of 5 percent in 2015.

But the IMF said weak tax revenue meant spending on vital areas such as health and education was constrained, adding that funding fuel subsidies and the under-funded civil service pension fund were also imposing budgetary pressures.

The IMF called for "an acceleration of economic and structural reforms to unleash Madagascar's significant potential", a demand that will be difficult to meet as long as politicians are haggling over who will be in the next cabinet.

Miners particularly eye mineral reserves in Madagascar, one of the world's poorest nations. The country boasts reserves of nickel, cobalt, gold and uranium, and has oil and gas prospects.

Ravelonarivo's government will have the task of dealing with mounting complaints about blackouts, mainly because the government cannot afford to pay for fuel, and other problems that forced his predecessor to quit.

The IMF welcomed a previously stated commitment by Madagascar to phase out fuel subsidies, as well as steps to stop transfers to loss-making state firms and other measures to improve financial management.

(Writing by Edmund Blair; editing by Ralph Boulton)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More

Catalonia takes election gamble to keep independence drive alive

Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:00am EST

* Early elections political gamble for Catalonia, Spain

* Catalonia leader wants independence to stay on top of agenda

* Rise of Podemos, internal divisions bode ill for movement

By Sarah White and Julien Toyer

MADRID, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Catalonian leaders are hoping that a regional election in September will keep alive a fading independence drive and force the hand of Spain's central government - but the move could also backfire.

The long push for independence from Spain, which gathered strength during the economic crisis of recent years, is a big headache for Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, who has taken a hard line on such ambitions.

Catalonia defied Madrid and went ahead with a symbolic vote on independence last November. The outcome, however, was mixed -- about 80 percent of the 2.2 million people who voted backed secession but the turnout was little more than 40 percent.

With a general election due in Spain by the end of the year, the Catalan parliamentary vote, called this week by regional President Artur Mas for Sept. 27, should force the issue to the fore of the national campaigns.

"Early regional elections will increase pressure on Madrid to offer concessions to the Catalans," said Antonio Roldan, an analyst at Eurasia Group.

Rajoy's team says he is unlikely to offer much to Catalonia, which is still highly dependent on Madrid for financing support, - in the run-up to the September poll or the general election, because it would alienate his People's Party's (PP) own voters.

The premier said on Thursday the election called by Mas made no sense.

"It is simply a clear show of the failure of a policy that has only generated instability and uncertainty," he said.

But the Socialist Party has called for constitutional reform in Spain and the debate on creating a more federal state or revamping the model for financing regions could start gathering steam.

A big show of support for pro-secession parties, including the one led by Mas, could at the very least give Catalan leaders more leverage to discuss some demands, including for more autonomy, as politicians try to woo voters from Spain's wealthiest and second most populous region.

HIGH STAKES

The September elections are, however, a high-stakes gamble for Mas and some of his allies as it risks exposing divisions in the pro-independence camp. It could also find it hard to keep up the momentum over the next eight months.

Like Rajoy's centre-right PP and the opposition Socialists, Catalan parties face tough competition from upstart anti-establishment party Podemos ("We Can"), which is gaining strong support across Spain and opposes Catalan independence.

Recent polls also showed Mas' Convergencia i Unio (CiU) alliance and the second party in the region, the pro-secession Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya (The Republican Left of Catalonia) falling well short of getting 50 percent of votes between them.

Though the two forces will run with a common "roadmap" they will not campaign with a joint list of candidates as Mas had pressed for, and they remain rivals.

He said on Friday that he hoped Catalans would back independence in the polls, although he was also ready to form a government in case they lacked a majority to move forward with secession from Spain.

"If the process is not ratified but I win the elections, I will try to govern," he told Catalan radio.

That could hamper attempts to portray the elections as a proxy for a referendum on independence, while even strong support for parties favouring a breakaway from Spain may not necessarily bring secession closer.

"In Scotland, the prospect of independence was certain - they were out if they voted "yes"," said Antonio Barroso, analyst at think tank Teneo Intelligence.

Scots voted to remain in Britain in a historic vote on independence held last September. The British government had agreed that if it would respect the referendum result either way. But Spain's central takes a firm stand that a vote on independence would be against the constitution.

"It's not so clear in Spain," Barroso said. (Editing by Angus MacSwan)

  • Link this
  • Share this
  • Digg this
  • Email
  • Print
  • Reprints

18.12 | 0 komentar | Read More
techieblogger.com Techie Blogger Techie Blogger