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UPDATE 1-Kenyan shilling rallies to 2013 peak ahead of elections

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 28 Februari 2013 | 18.12

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Thu Feb 28, 2013 4:50am EST

  * Shilling firms on election optimism      * Mumias Sugar shares tumble after profit warning          By Kevin Mwanza      NAIROBI, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The Kenyan shilling   rallied on Thursday for a sixth session to trade at its  strongest level so far this year, four days ahead of  presidential and legislative elections.       At 0908 GMT, Thomson Reuters data showed the  shilling firmed 0.8 percent during the session to strike an  intraday high of 85.60 against the dollar, last reached on Dec.  27, 2012.      "The shilling is strengthening on account of previously  being heavily overbought. The demand side is not much as the  market had anticipated ahead of Monday's vote," said Raphael  Owino, assistant general Treasury manager at Commercial Bank of  Africa.      Monday's presidential and legislative elections are the  first since President Mwai Kabuki's re-election in 2007, a win  that prompted opposition accusations of rigging and unleashed  weeks of inter-tribal fighting that killed more than 1,200  people.      Front-runners Prime Minister Raila Odinga and former Finance  Minister Uhuru Kenyatta are neck-and-neck in the polls. If no  candidate wins an absolute majority, the vote will go to a  decisive run-off in April.      Fear of unrest after these elections has seen some  businesses slow down their operations.       The central bank has been intervening to support the  shilling by mopping up excess liquidity from the money markets  on an almost daily basis, while occasionally selling dollars to  banks.       Market players said a smooth handover of power could boost  the shilling further, though gains could be checked as importers   resume full operations after the vote.       The shilling has now rallied 2.4 percent in the last six  sessions, wiping all the losses it had made this year, as the  market bets a closely contested presidential vote next Monday  will not result in widespread violence.      The shilling has reversed its loses to post a 0.6 percent  gain against the dollar so far this year.      "Someone big might have seen a floor and decided to sell his  dollar holdings. That might have caught some guys flat-footed  and they decided to sell too," said a senior trader at one  commercial bank.      On the Nairobi Securities Exchange, shares in sugar grower  and miller Mumias tumbled 19.2 percent to 4 shillings a  share after it warned on Wednesday that its full-year profits  will fall more than 25 percent.       Two banks, Equity Bank and Co-operative Bank  , posted big profit jumps. Equity said its 36 percent  profit rise was above its own expectations.          Shares in Equity were up 0.9 percent to 28.25 shillings per  share, while Co-operative Bank gained 2.2 percent to 13.80  shillings each after the announcement.                 ...........................Shilling spot rates                     .....................Shilling forward rates                              .......................Cross rates            ..................................Local contributors              .......................Central Bank of Kenya Index             .....................Kenyan Bonds contributor pages                             ...............Treasury bill yields           ..................Central bank open market operations           .........................Horizontal repo transactions            ,       ................Daily interbank lending rate                 .............................Kenya Bond pricing                ..................Real time Africa economic data    <ECI & AFR> ...........................African economic news            .................................NSE-20 Share Index           .................................NSE All Share Index               ...........................FT NSE Kenya 15 Index               .......................... FT NSE Kenya 25 Index    SPEED GUIDES:  
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PayNet Canada commercial lending index highest since 2008

Thu Feb 28, 2013 4:59am EST

* Lending index up 6 pct on quarter, 23 pct on year

* Moderate loan delinquencies fall to record low

By Alastair Sharp

TORONTO, Feb 28 (Reuters) - Commercial borrowing by small and medium-sized businesses in Canada hit its highest level since 2008 in the last three months of 2012, and a much smaller percentage of the businesses were behind on their payments, according to a PayNet survey released on Thursday.

PayNet, which tracks commercial financing for millions of North American small and medium-sized businesses, said its Canadian Business Lending Index was up 6 percent in the fourth quarter from the third quarter and up 23 percent year-over-year.

It said the quarterly lending growth was ahead of that south of the border. "The Canadian small- and medium-business market is under steady expansion while the U.S. continues to muddle along," said Anthony Zambon, director of PayNet Canada.

The index rose to a reading of 181, its highest level since the final quarter of 2008, marking a ninth consecutive quarter of growth since the index bottomed out in 2010, and the sixth straight double-digit advance on a year-over-year basis.

The PayNet data contrasts with other reports that have painted a gloomy picture of the Canadian economy late last year, including inflation and retail sales data.

Gross domestic product data due out this Friday is expected to show the economy contracted in December and grew at an annualized pace of just 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter, below the central bank's already reduced forecast of 1 percent.

But Zambon said both the PayNet data, which tracks lending across sectors including manufacturing, retail and transportation, and the activity he has seen are more encouraging.

"These companies have great balance sheets and are ready for expansion," he said, adding that the companies tracked typically have loans outstanding of less than C$2 million.

The commercial lenders include independent finance companies, big banks and nonbank players such as machinery makers, whose loans and leases to customers are secured against the equipment sold.

PayNet's Canadian unit collects data on almost 700,000 loan contracts worth more than US$35.5 billion.

FEWER COMPANIES BEHIND ON PAYMENTS

The PayNet data also showed one type of loan delinquency fell to a record low. Moderate loan delinquencies - defined as those being late by 30 days or more - were down to 0.77 percent in November from 1.01 percent of total loans in September. Before October, that gauge of financial stress had not fallen below 1 percent in the survey's eight-year history.

Severe loans in arrears - those behind more than 90 days - fell as low as 0.27 percent in November. These longer loan delinquencies were the lowest since early 2006.

"A lot of the companies that were having issues during the recessionary time have been cleaned out from their (lenders') portfolios and what remains are pretty great companies," Zambon said.

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EU's Barroso says confident Italy will honour commitments

DUBLIN | Thu Feb 28, 2013 5:45am EST

DUBLIN Feb 28 (Reuters) - European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso on Thursday said he was confident that Italy's next government would honour its commitments and would not derail growing confidence in the euro zone.

Investors are nervous over whether the political gridlock that emerged from the Italian elections could hurt euro zone growth, and if support from the European Central Bank for a nation in trouble can be used if there's no workable government.

"I'm confident that Italy will honour its commitments," Barosso told reporters on the sidelines of a conference in Dublin.

"I'm quite confident that the government that will come from these elections will not undermine the positive climate of confidence that has been building up," he said.


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RPT-Italy bonds, European stocks rise after Italy sale

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 27 Februari 2013 | 18.12

Wed Feb 27, 2013 5:31am EST

LONDON Feb 27 (Reuters) - Italian debt prices and European stocks briefly rose on Wednesday after Italy sold the maximum amount of bonds it planned to offer in a debt auction though borrowing costs soared.

German Bund futures initially fell before recouping losses while the euro slipped as traders parsed details of the auction which was the first test of investor demand for the country's debt after inconclusive weekend elections spooked financial markets.

Italian 10-year yields fell 7 basis points to 4.83 percent while the Bund future was last 25 ticks up on the day at 145.15 after the sale.

The euro fell to $1.3098 from a session high of $1.3123 hit just before the results to the Italian bond auction were announced.


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REUTERS SUMMIT-No broad "bail-in" for Cyprus depositors, ECB says

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.


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Deals of the day -- mergers and acquisitions

Wed Feb 27, 2013 5:34am EST

Feb 27 (Reuters) - The following bids, mergers, acquisitions and disposals were reported by 1030 GMT on Wednesday:

** Denmark's DONG Energy, 80 percent owned by the Danish government, said on Wednesday it plans to sell 10 billion crowns ($1.75 billion) of non-core asset, hopes to raise 6-8 billion crowns in fresh equity and will sell down some core activities to restore profitability.

** Abu Dhabi's Etihad Airways paid $70 million to buy Jet Airways' slots at London's Heathrow airport and said it remains in talks to buy a stake in the Indian carrier.

** Itochu Corp said on Wednesday it will form a partnership with European oil trading house Vitol Group to export liquefied petroleum gas from the United States to Asia.

Itochu will take a 34 percent interest in Vitol's planned $500 million LPG refining, storage and exporting base in Texas, it said in a statement. A final investment decision on the project will be made in June, an Itochu spokesman said.

** Belgium's Tessenderlo said on Wednesday it plans to sell its compounds business to Japan's Mitsubishi Chemical Corp, the latest in a string of divestments as the company tries focus on specialty chemicals. The company did not disclose the price of the sale.

** The Russian government plans to sell 20 percent of Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port by the end of this year, but not in the spring, Russia's State Property Agency said on Wednesday.

** Central European Media Enterprises said it is looking to raise cash by selling assets, raising fees and holding talks with its largest shareholder, Time Warner Inc , over increasing its stake in the broadcaster.

** Starwood Retail Properties is in talks to buy four lower sales-generating malls from Macerich Co, two sources familiar with the deal said on Tuesday.

** Vodafone Group Plc has suspended plans to approach Kabel Deutschland Holding AG about a takeover bid, Bloomberg cited three people familiar with the matter as saying.

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UPDATE 2-Vivendi offers no 2013 forecast as asset sales drag

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 26 Februari 2013 | 18.12

Tue Feb 26, 2013 4:53am EST

* 2012 revenue 28.99 bln eur vs poll avg 28.51 bln

* Adj net income 2.86 bln vs own target 2.7 bln

* CFO says no announcements on disposals

* CFO says will take time to get good prices for assets

* Net debt 13.4 bln eur, below goal of 14 bln

By James Regan and Catherine Monin

PARIS, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Entertainment-to-telecoms conglomerate Vivendi said on Tuesday it could give no full-year group outlook until it had more clarity on key asset sales, prompting its shares to slip and analysts to caution the company needed to deliver on deals.

Vivendi is looking to sell assets including its 53-percent stake in Maroc Telecom and Brazilian telecoms and TV subsidiary GVT as part of an overhaul to cut debt and reduce its exposure to the capital-intensive telecoms business.

Les Echos newspaper reported on Tuesday that Vivendi had failed to obtain offers near its preferred price of 7 billion euros for GVT and was delaying the sale.

"If disposals disappoint, investor focus will switch back to weak earnings momentum and the limited credit rating headroom," UBS analysts wrote in a note.

Vivendi beat its full-year earnings target, helped by video game sales and a smaller-than-expected profit drop at its French mobile unit SFR, which has been hammered by a price war launched by low-cost mobile player Iliad.

SFR saw full-year earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fall 10.6 percent before one-offs to 3.3 billion euros, better than the group's target for a drop of close to 12 percent.

Finance chief Philippe Capron said Vivendi was not in a hurry to push through asset sales. Vivendi's financial position meant it was not forced to make a "fire sale", he told analysts on Tuesday.

"We are not under pressure in our disposals processes," Capron said in a conference call with journalists. "If the prices are not good, we will take our time."

Vivendi shares fell 3 percent in early trading then narrowed the loss slightly to be off 2.1 percent at 15.605 euros by 0913 GMT, in line with the broader market.

The stock rose 3.2 percent on Monday on expectations of asset sales after Brazilian newspaper Folha de S.Paulo reported on Sunday that a deal to sell GVT, which provides fixed-line telecommunications, high-speed broadband services and pay television in about 120 Brazilian cities, was just weeks away.

Shares in Vivendi, whose businesses range from video games, music and pay-TV to telecoms, have lost about two-fifths of their value in the last five years. The company is penalised by a conglomerate discount, meaning investors undervalue its intrinsic value because of the range of subsidiaries - Vivendi has said it wants to shake this off to improve its valuation.

"The results look ok but, with Vivendi, we see the main catalyst as the sale of its telecom assets," a Paris-based trader said.

MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE "STABLE"

Vivendi posted full-year adjusted net income of 2.86 billion euros ($3.78 billion) before one-offs, ahead of its target of 2.7 billion. Revenue rose 0.6 percent to 28.99 billion, compared with the average estimate in a Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S analyst poll of 28.51 billion.

The company said its postpaid mobile customer base was stable at the end of last year compared with 2011, and Capron said he did not expect further price decreases.

Vivendi stuck to its forecast for full-year EBITDA to fall further to close to 2.9 billion euros at SFR this year, with capital expenditure of about 1.6 billion.

"Some may see this as evidence of stabilisation in the French (mobile) market, but after the recent round of price cuts, we remain cautious on the outlook for French mobile," the UBS analysts added.

The company's Activision Blizzard video games maker posted increases of 9.8 percent in revenue to 3.77 billion euros and 13.6 percent in EBITA to 1.15 billion last year as it launched new games such as Black Ops II.

The division is not expected to match last year's performance in 2013, however, due to a "challenged global economy" and a smaller number of game releases, Vivendi said, adding that the EBITA target was still above $1 billion.

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INSIGHT-In Spain, banks buck calls for mortgage law reform

By Sonya Dowsett

MADRID | Tue Feb 26, 2013 5:00am EST

MADRID Feb 26 (Reuters) - For more than a century, Spanish law has determined that if a person borrows money to buy a home, they can only be freed of the debt when it is repaid. Even in death, the debt is not cancelled. As the country enters another year of recession, calls are mounting for the system to be relaxed. But the banks worry this would damage their access to funds.

Take Francisco Lema, an unemployed 36-year-old builder, who dropped off his 8-year-old daughter at school on Feb. 8 and returned to the family's rented fourth-floor flat in the Andalusian city of Cordoba.

The house he built himself had been repossessed, leaving a debt of 22,000 euros ($29,000) on the mortgage he took out to cover building materials, said family friend Maria Jose Vadillo, an activist for Stop Evictions Cordoba, a pressure group. His parents had stood guarantor for part of the loan. Now he was struggling with the repayments, said Rafael Blazquez, another activist with the same group.

His wife, who was out, returned home to find his body on the street, covered with a sheet.

Everything pointed to suicide, a police spokeswoman said; a witness had called to say Lema had jumped off the balcony. His wife declined to be interviewed. Of the two banks involved in the case one, Kutxabank, confirmed Lema had a mortgage with a savings bank it owns. The other, Caja 3, did not respond to inquiries. Activists and police say Lema was one of four people who have killed themselves this month in Spain because of forced evictions and the consequent debt loads.

"The foreclosure process here is very tough," says Jose Garcia Montalvo, economics professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra. "The law is brutally clear and it's not interpretable case by case."

Mariano Rajoy's conservative government has taken steps to ease the burden. In November, it said it would suspend evictions for two years for vulnerable homeowners who can no longer pay, including those with small children, the disabled and the long-term unemployed. Last month, the finance minister announced more measures including partial debt-forgiveness for some defaulted borrowers who pledge to repay a certain amount of the remaining debt within five years.

But lawyers, activists and opposition politicians want more. Thousands of Spaniards bearing placards and banners took to the streets in 50 cities around the country on Feb. 16 to protest against forced evictions. Spain's three main judge associations have said the government has not done enough, and a petition with close to 1.5 million signatures this month persuaded parliament to debate the possibility of cancelling mortgage debt once a home is handed back to the bank. Spain's eviction law is in breach of European law on consumer protection by not offering homeowners a legal chance to argue against eviction until after they have been thrown out, Juliane Kokott, the Advocate General of the European Court of Justice, has said. The Court ensures the application of European Union law across the member states.

"The mortgage law is missing a social dimension," Fernando de Rosa, a conservative judge with strong links to the ruling People's Party (PP), told Reuters. "It's too strict in the relationship between the bank and the borrower."

TOUGH LOVE

Spain's banks, which have already been bailed out by Europe to the tune of 40 billion euros, are lobbying against any change.

Moody's said earlier this month that easing the legislation would diminish borrowers' incentive to keep up with mortgage payments. Any change in the law eroding investors' protections would undermine confidence, the agency said. That risked damaging Spain's already weak credit rating. As of Jan. 10, two ratings agencies pegged Spanish debt just one notch above junk.

In the United States, if you default on your mortgage you can often cancel the debt by handing back the house to the bank, and hope the bank agrees to accept it in lieu of the outstanding sum. In Britain, you can write off the liability through personal bankruptcy: your credit will be damaged for a time but you can wipe the slate clean. In Ireland, which suffered a similar housing boom and crash to Spain, the government has made it easier for people to be declared bankrupt, and proposed new routes for mortgage holders to discharge their debt.

In Spain, homeowners remain liable even after the bank has repossessed the property. Banks have a claim on debtors' salaries, and can put a claim on the estate of the deceased. That's not unique, but experts say it is harsher than in many countries.

Spanish house prices are around a third below their peak. More than 80 percent of the population own their homes; the mortgage debt totals over 600 billion euros or around two-thirds of gross domestic product. So far, nearly 400,000 properties have been repossessed by banks since the 2008 housing crash, and the number is rising, although no statistics are available on how many of these are homes.

People who call for reform note that while individuals have no escape from their mortgage debts, real estate companies - which built up debts of 280 billion euros to the banks - have an easier get-out. Many have declared themselves bankrupt and their bad loans have ended up in Sareb, Spain's so-called 'bad bank.'

Others say huge, lifelong debt burdens will deter even the able-bodied from seeking work or starting a business, so are not profitable for the banks to hold onto.

"It encourages these people to work in the black market or live on subsidies and it doesn't benefit banks other than acting as a threat for others to keep up with their payments," said Mikel Echavarren, chairman at Irea, a Madrid-based finance company specialising in real estate.

HUMAN RIGHTS

Pressure is mounting internationally. Warming himself by a tin bucket filled with smouldering coals outside a central Madrid branch of Bankia, 38-year-old unemployed Ecuadorian Emilio Azuero is one of many who came to Spain during the boom years, bought property at the height of the market, and now face eviction and debt. He joined a spontaneous protest at the site for three months until police cleared the site at the beginning of February.

In his home country, mortgage debt is cancelled with the return of the property to the bank. In Spain, his debts would exceed 100,000 euros if he lost his home.

Ecuador said in January it had presented a case to the European Court of Human Rights that argues Spanish law abuses fundamental rights by not allowing homeowners to explain their situation in court during the eviction process. The Latin American country estimates that as many as 15,000 Ecuadorian families in Spain are affected by eviction processes or mortgage repayment problems.

LOW DEFAULT RATES

But one important reason the banks oppose reform is that, as the euro zone debt crisis runs into its fourth year, they have struggled to borrow on the money markets. Instead, to a limited extent, they turn to the mortgage-backed bond market where they can use their home loans as collateral.

Spain is the biggest issuer of mortgage-backed bonds in Europe, with 578 billion euros of bonds linked to mortgage assets outstanding as of November 2012, according to Moody's. That is equivalent to 15 percent of the banks' total funding.

Making it easier for bad debtors to cancel debt would push up the rate of default, which for Spanish banks is at 3.5 percent - around a third the rate of the home loan defaults in Ireland.

"We have managed to maintain one of the lowest mortgage default rates in Europe despite the recession," said Santos Gonzalez, chairman of the Spanish Mortgage Association, which represents banks accounting for most of the mortgage market, including Santander, BBVA and Bankia. "Do we want a knee-jerk reaction to a crisis that has affected a small percentage of people by changing the structure of our whole mortgage market, weakening its guarantees?"

Laws governing the repayment of mortgages ensure that homeowners keep up with payments, says economist Montalvo of Universitat Pompeu Fabra. "If you don't pay, the bank will get it back somehow and with interest," he adds.

One way banks have kept the default rate low is by renegotiating mortgages with borrowers. Official data is not available but according to an independent audit carried out by consultant Oliver Wyman in September, banks have renegotiated almost one in 10 residential mortgages. By comparison, 11 percent of large companies' borrowing has been restructured.

A POSSIBLE EXIT

Marcheline Rosero has reached an agreement with her bank which reformers say could serve as a partial model. She and her family escaped eviction from their small Madrid flat when she fell behind on mortgage payments two years ago, and lender Bankia repossessed it.

The unemployed 45-year-old, confined to a wheelchair by childhood polio, reached an agreement to stay by paying the bank a nominal rent of 240 euros per month.

But under the existing law she still owes most of a 222,000 euro home loan even after handing the property - now valued at 60,000 euros - back to Bankia. "I've got a debt there that I haven't paid back that is accumulating interest," says the former office clerk, greeting her three children as they return from school.

Bankia said the bank does everything possible to find alternatives before eviction. It has renegotiated around 80,000 mortgages since 2009, a spokeswoman said: she could not say how big a share of the total that was. The bank declined to comment on proposed changes to law until they materialised.

Chema Ruiz, a Madrid-based activist for 'Support for those Affected by Mortgages,' a not-for-profit group which advises those struggling with repayments, says banks delayed many evictions in November, but courts have started to send out eviction notices again.

More homeowners are attending weekly support meetings, he said; he sees 80 to 100 new cases a week. "Every week there are more people and of higher social standing."

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UPDATE 4-Italy faces post-vote stalemate, spooking investors

Tue Feb 26, 2013 5:55am EST

* Beppe Grillo's 5-Star Movement stuns Italy

* Centre-left coalition wins lower house but fails to control Senate

* Financial markets react negatively as government paralysis feared

* European governments express concern

By James Mackenzie and Philip Pullella

ROME, Feb 26 (Reuters) - The Italian stock market fell and state borrowing costs rose on Tuesday as investors took fright at political deadlock after a stunning election that saw a comedian's protest party lead the poll and no group secure a clear majority in parliament.

"The winner is: Ingovernability" ran the headline in Rome newspaper Il Messaggero, reflecting the stalemate the country would have to confront in the next few weeks as sworn enemies would be forced to work together to form a government.

In a sign of where that might lead, former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi indicated his centre-right might be open to a grand coalition with the centre-left bloc of Pier Luigi Bersani, which will have a majority in the lower house thanks to a premium of seats given to the largest bloc in the chamber.

Results in the upper house, the Senate, where seats are awarded on a region-by-region basis, indicated the centre-left would end up with about 119 seats, compared with 117 for the centre-right. But 158 are needed for a majority to govern.

Any coalition administration that may be formed must have a working majority in both houses in order to pass legislation.

Comedian Beppe Grillo's anti-establishment 5-Star Movement won the most votes of any single party, taking 25 percent. He shows no immediate inclination to cooperate with other groups.

Despite talk of a new election, the main established parties seem likely to try to avoid that, fearing even more humiliation.

World financial markets reacted nervously to the prospect of a stalemate in the euro zone's third largest economy with memories still fresh of the crisis that took the 17-member currency bloc to the brink of collapse in 2011..

In a clear sign of worry at the top over what effect the elections could have on the economy, Prime Minister Mario Monti, whose austerity policies were repudiated by voters, called a meeting with the governor of the central bank, the economy minister and the European affairs minister for later on Tuesday.

Other governments in the euro zone sounded uneasy. Allies of German Chancellor Angela Merkel made no secret of disappointment at Monti's debacle and urged Rome to continue with economic reforms Berlin sees as vital to stabilising the common currency.

France's Socialist finance minister also expressed "worry" at the prospect of legislative deadlock in Italy but said that Italians had rejected austerity and hoped Bersani's centre-left could form a stable government to help foster growth in Europe.

INSTABILITY

Fabio Fois, an economist at Barclays bank, said: "Political instability is likely to prevail in the near term and slow the implementation of much needed structural reforms unless a grand coalition among centre-left, centre-right and centre is formed."

Berlusconi, a media magnate whose campaigning all but wiped out Bersani's once commanding opinion poll lead, hinted in a telephone call to a morning television show that he would be open to a deal with the centre-left - but not with Monti, the technocrat summoned to replace him in a crisis 15 months ago.

"Italy must be governed," Berlusconi said, adding that he "must reflect" on a possible deal with the centre-left. "Everyone must be prepared to make sacrifices," he said of the groups which now have a share of the legislature.

The Milan bourse was down more than four percent and the premium Italy pays over Germany to borrow on 10-year widened to a yield spread of 338.7 basis points, the highest since Dec. 10.

At an auction of six-month Treasury bills, the government's borrowing costs shot up by more than two thirds. Investors demanded a yield of 1.237 percent, the highest since October and compared to just 0.730 percent in a similar sale a month ago.

Berlusconi, who was forced from office in November 2011 as borrowing costs approached levels investors feared would become unsustainable, said he was "not worried" about market reaction to the election and played down the significance of the spread.

The poor showing by Monti's centrist bloc reflected a weariness with austerity that was exploited by both Berlusconi and Grillo; only with the help of centre-left allies did Bersani beat 5-Star, by just 125,000 votes, to control the lower house.

The worries immediately went beyond Italy's borders.

"What is crucial now is that a stable functioning government can be built as swiftly as possible," said German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle. "This is not only in the interests of Italy but in the interests of all Europe."

The euro skidded to an almost seven-week low against the dollar in Asia on fears about the euro zone's debt crisis. It fell as far as $1.3042, its lowest since Jan. 10.

"NON-PARTY" SURGES TO THE TOP

Commentators said all Grillo's adversaries underestimated the appeal of a grassroots movement that called itself a "non-party", particularly its allure among young Italians who find themselves without jobs and the prospect of a decent future.

The 5-star Movement's score of 25.5 percent in the lower house was just ahead of the 25.4 percent for Bersani's Democratic Party, which ran in a coalition with the leftist SEL party, and it won almost 8.7 million votes overall - more than any other single party.

"The 'non-party' has become the largest party in the country," said Massimo Giannini, commentator for Rome newspaper La Repubblica, of Grillo, who mixes fierce attacks on corruption with policies ranging from clean energy to free Internet.

Grillo's surge in the final weeks of the campaign threw the race open, with hundreds of thousands turning up at his rallies to hear him lay into targets ranging from corrupt politicians and bankers to German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

In just three years, his 5-Star Movement, heavily backed by a frustrated generation of young Italians increasingly shut out from permanent full-time jobs, has grown from a marginal group to one of the most talked about political forces in Europe.

RECESSION

"It's a classic result. Typically Italian," said Roberta Federica, a 36-year-old office worker in Rome. "It means the country is not united. It is an expression of a country that does not work. I knew this would happen."

Italy's borrowing costs have come down in recent months, helped by the promise of European Central Bank support but the election result confirmed fears of many European countries that it would not produce a government strong enough to implement effective reforms.

A long recession and growing disillusionment with mainstream parties fed a bitter public mood that saw more than half of Italian voters back parties that rejected the austerity policies pursued by Monti with the backing of Italy's European partners.

Monti suffered a major setback. His centrist grouping won only 10.6 percent and two of his key centrist allies, Pier Ferdinando Casini and lower house speaker Gianfranco Fini, both of parliamentarians for decades, were booted out.

"It's not that surprising if you consider how much people were let down by politics in its traditional forms," Monti said.

Berlusconi's campaign, mixing sweeping tax cut pledges with relentless attacks on Monti and Merkel, echoed many of the themes pushed by Grillo and underlined the increasingly angry mood of the Italian electorate.

Even if the next government turns away from the tax hikes and spending cuts brought in by Monti, it will struggle to revive an economy that has scarcely grown in two decades.

Monti was widely credited with tightening Italy's public finances and restoring its international credibility after the scandal-plagued Berlusconi, who is currently on trial for having sex with an under-age prostitute.

But Monti struggled to pass the kind of structural reforms needed to improve competitiveness and lay the foundations for a return to economic growth, and a weak centre-left government may not find it any easier.

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Italy sells 4.07 bln euros in debt vs target 2.5-4.25 bln euros

Written By Unknown on Senin, 25 Februari 2013 | 18.12

MILAN | Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:32am EST

MILAN Feb 25 (Reuters) - Italy sold 4.068 billion euros ($5.35 trillion) of bonds at an auction on Monday, just below the top planned amount of 4.25 billion euros, with the sale coming a few hours before the release of parliamentary election results.

Rome placed 2.818 billion euros of zero-coupon bonds and 1.25 billion euros of two inflation-linked BTPei bonds.


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Sterling drops to 2-1/2 yr low vs dollar after rating cut

Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:45am EST

* Sterling takes further hammering after Moody's rating cut

* Hurt by weak UK economy, risk of more monetary easing

* Down around 7 percent vs both euro and dollar in 2013

* Euro also near 16-month high

By Anirban Nag

LONDON, Feb 25 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a two-and-a-half year low against the dollar and a 16-month trough against the euro on Monday after ratings agency Moody's stripped the UK of one of its prized triple-A ratings, rounding off a week of woe for the currency.

More falls were likely in the near term given a grim outlook for the British economy, the prospect of more monetary easing and growing evidence that the Bank of England (BoE) is comfortable with a falling currency as it seeks to rebalance the economy and encourage more exports.

Markets had been expecting a cut by one of the major ratings agencies for some time, and there had been hopes that the move when it finally arrived could halt a slide in bond and currency markets.

But sterling lost another 0.1 percent to $1.5145 and this year is now down nearly 7 percent against the dollar. It is also down 7.5 percent against the euro.

Its trade-weighted index hit a 17-month low of 78.5.

An earlier low of $1.5073 was its weakest since mid-July 2010, and traders said any bounce towards $1.5250-$1.5300 would be sold into as more speculators and investors took a dim view and built bets against the currency.

The euro was up 1 percent at 87.42 pence, not far from a 16-month high of 87.75 pence. Investors who bought UK gilts as a way of seeking safety from the euro zone crisis last year continued to turn around those bets; gilt futures fell sharply in morning trade.

"(The rating cut) reinforces the perilous economic position the UK is in. It supports the unwinding of the safe haven trade too," said Kathleen Brooks, research director at Forex.com.

"This downgrade may fuel more speculation that QE will be re-started later this year. This is pound-negative for the medium term and we could see sub-$1.50 in the near term."

More quantitative easing is seen as hurting the currency as it involves the central bank printing more money to buy bonds. That increases the supply of the currency and puts more pressure on its value.

GRIM PROSPECTS

Sterling was already under pressure last week after Bank of England minutes showed policymakers, including Governor Mervyn King, have edged closer to another round of easing. The bank's quarterly report earlier this month also said policymakers were prepared to tolerate higher inflation to support growth.

Analysts said the Moody's rating downgrade brought into focus the widening growth differentials between the United States and the UK and pointed to further weakness for the pound, especially against the dollar.

Economists surveyed by Reuters expect the U.S. to grow 1.9 percent in 2013 while Britain is forecast to grow at a much slower pace of 0.9 percent this year.

"One can expect further sterling weakness in the short term, the only question is the extent," said Peter Kinsella, currency strategist at Commerzbank. "US-UK growth differentials indicate sterling/dollar should now trade towards the mid to high-$1.40's and we can expect this to manifest in the coming weeks."

Analysts said by tolerating higher inflation in the coming years, the real or inflation-adjusted returns for investors would diminish, making the pound even less attractive.

"Rising inflation and pound weakness will pare living standards back down," Morgan Stanley strategists said in a morning note. "We expect sterling to fall further and Friday's rating downgrade was a marginal event in dictating the future path of the currency."

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UPDATE 3-Japan to raise $10 bln through Japan Tobacco share sale

Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:50am EST

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO Feb 25 (Reuters) - Japan's government will sell around a third of its stake in Japan Tobacco Inc, the world's No.3 tobacco company, to raise about $10.4 billion for reconstruction of areas devastated by a 2011 earthquake and tsunami.

The Ministry of Finance, which owns just over 50 percent of the $62 billion former state monopoly, is selling 333 million shares, according to a regulatory filing on Monday, with the deal to be priced between March 11-13.

The offering, the largest such deal since the U.S. Treasury's $20.7 billion sale of American International Group Inc shares in September, comes as Japanese equities scale their highest levels in more than four years.

Japan's parliament in 2011 passed a set of bills including tax hikes and government share sales in state-owned companies to help finance the roughly $270 billion it expects to spend to rebuild the northeast coast after the quake in March that year.

Reuters reported early last week that the stake sale would be launched within days.

Conditions for a sell-down in the government's stake in Japan Tobacco have improved in recent months, with the benchmark Nikkei share average hitting a 53-month high on Monday. A broad market rally began in mid-November after the calling of an early election that put Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in power a month later. Abe has promised aggressive monetary and fiscal policies to tackle prolonged deflation.

Prior to the stake sale, Japan Tobacco, whose cigarette brands include Winston, Camel, Benson & Hedges and Mild Seven, will buy back as much as 250 billion yen ($2.7 billion) worth of its own shares, Monday's filing showed.

GROWTH PROSPECTS

Shares in Japan Tobacco have outperformed rival Philip Morris International Inc and British American Tobacco Plc since the bill approving the sell-down was approved in 2011, Thomson Reuters data shows, with investors welcoming reduced state control.

"We see ample room for JT to increase their share buybacks and dividends going forward as they have no net debt," Oscar Veldhuijzen, a London-based fund manager with The Children's Investment Fund Management (UK) LLP and a holder of Japan Tobacco stock, said before Monday's filing. "JT has the best growth prospects amongst the three major tobacco companies, as two-thirds of their profits come from Japan and Russia, where tobacco prices remain far below other countries on a PPP (purchasing price parity) basis."

Debt holders are also optimistic about the firm's ability to generate free cashflow after the share buy back is completed. Yields on its 2014 eurobond have tumbled 18 basis points this month and are currently at 0.60 percent.

Shares in Japan Tobacco closed on Monday at 2,901 yen, up 1.4 percent on the day. At that price, the share sale would be valued at about 967 billion yen.

Japanese law requires the government to hold at least one-third of Japan Tobacco's 2 billion shares outstanding.

Japan's large and liquid stock market is used to digesting big offerings, such as the $8.5 billion IPO of Japan Airlines Co Ltd in September and a $2.3 billion follow-on deal by All Nippon Airways Co.

Last month, U.S. private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP raised about $1.7 billion by selling shares in Japan's Aozora Bank Ltd.

Overall, equity issuance in Japan rose 16.8 percent last year to $26.4 billion, driven by large IPOs and a flurry of activity that made 2012 the busiest year for deals since 2008, Thomson Reuters data showed.

The ministry last June selected JPMorgan Chase & Co, Daiwa Securities Group Inc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Mizuho Securities as underwriters for the Japan Tobacco offering.

Nomura Holdings Inc was not selected as an underwriter after its involvement in an insider trading scandal. But a source familiar with the details said on Monday that Japan's largest investment bank had been given a lesser role in the sale, along with SMBC Nikko Securities, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, Merrill Lynch and UBS AG.

Japan also plans to sell shares of Japan Post Holdings Co, which runs the nation's biggest savings institution, to raise money for post-quake reconstruction.

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NEWSMAKER-Battered Monti may still be key player in Italy vote

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 24 Februari 2013 | 18.12

Sun Feb 24, 2013 4:57am EST

* Monti helped save Italy from debt crisis

* But as election campaigner, he has been ineffective

* Seen coming fourth in election but could play key role

* Still finds support among business elite

By Gavin Jones

ROME, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Prime Minister Mario Monti has put his image as an independent technocrat at risk by joining the hurly-burly of Italy's election campaign but investors hope he will retain a key role in government after the vote, whatever the outcome.

Monti's centrist bloc is expected to come a lowly fourth in the election on Sunday and Monday, which polls suggest will be won by the centre-left, but it may still be needed to help form a stable government.

Whatever happens, the former economics professor will be remembered for helping to save Italy from a perilous debt crisis thanks to his personal credibility and decisive action to shore up public finances.

Opinions differ over the merits of his policies, but in just one year of office he restored Italy's international standing and made progress in reforming key areas such as pensions and the labour market.

He also won the admiration, if not the affection, of most Italians, who appreciated his professorial manner and expertise even while they felt the pain of his tax hikes.

All that may have led him to overplay his hand at the end of last year when, after months of denial followed by weeks of indecision, Monti announced that instead of leaving front-line politics he would seek a second term.

The aura of the respected, non-partisan technocrat vanished almost overnight and at the age of 69, Monti embarked on an unlikely new career as a campaigning politician, a role for which he immediately seemed strikingly ill-suited.

His attempt to present his "Civic Choice" as a breath of fresh air on Italy's political scene has been undermined by his choice of coalition allies, political veterans many Italians see as typical representatives of old and discredited parties.

At the same time his campaigning style has wavered uneasily between maintaining an austere, authoritative image and trying to appear more likeable by cuddling puppies, downing beers and playing stiffly on the carpet with his grandchildren.

He has also appeared uncomfortable and out of character trading insults with his opponents and has committed a number of gaffes, including suggesting that German Chancellor Angela Merkel did not want his centre-left rivals to win the election.

Such efforts have reaped little reward. The most recent polls put Monti's alliance in fourth place with 13 percent of the vote behind Pier Luigi Bersani's centre-left, Silvio Berlusconi's centre-right and the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement led by comedian Beppe Grillo.

Persistent murmurings since a poll black-out two weeks before the vote suggest that Monti is losing even more ground, mainly in favour of Grillo.

SAVAGED BY BERLUSCONI

Clearly in difficulty, Monti has transformed his policy positions to try to improve his fortunes, with escalating promises of tax cuts which seem out of line with his record of fiscal rigour while in office.

But after being widely revered as prime minister he has been savaged as a candidate, especially by Berlusconi who has put his renowned campaigning skills to good effect, reeling off data to show how his policies have hurt the economy.

"Berlusconi has attacked and destroyed Monti's image in the eyes of the Italians," said prominent pollster Nicola Piepoli.

Yet despite all this, investors inside and outside Italy still see the former European Commissioner as an anchor of stability and believe his coalition offers the best prospects for the kind of structural reforms that Italy's stagnant economy needs.

It is likely that a fragmented result would mean Bersani needs to join forces with Monti in order to govern.

What this would mean for Monti remains to be seen. When he entered the race he said he aimed to remain prime minister and virtually ruled out the idea of serving as a minister under anyone else. But his many supporters will hope that he can swallow his pride and agree to serve as economy minister.

Otherwise he may have a chance of succeeding Giorgio Napolitano as state president after the election or, perhaps more likely, of taking a top job in the European Union.

The positions of European Commission president held by Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President occupied by Herman Van Rompuy both fall vacant in 2014.

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NEWSMAKER-Leftist may hold key to stable rule in Italy

Sun Feb 24, 2013 5:00am EST

* Adversaries may have to unite if Italy is to be governable

* Former communist credited with pragmatism

* Vendola and Monti may be forced into coalition

By Steve Scherer and Naomi O'Leary

ROME, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Italy's chance of stable government after elections this weekend may rely on forcing two awkward partners into coalition: former European Commissioner Mario Monti and an openly gay leftist he has vowed not to work with.

The mutual sniping between Monti and Nichi Vendola, governor of the southern region of Puglia, has intensified during the final weeks of campaigning for elections on Sunday and Monday and both have declared their visions for Italy "incompatible".

Yet polls indicate the centre-left coalition, in which Vendola's Left Ecology Freedom (SEL) is the main partner allied to the larger Democratic Party (PD), may have to join forces with Monti's centrist group in order to rule.

Monti has called Vendola, whose defence of welfare and labour rights appeal to traditional left-wingers, an obstacle to much needed economic reforms and urged PD leader Pier Luigi Bersani, most likely head of the next government, to drop him.

With his bowl of silver hair and a sleepy expression, the 54-year-old Vendola, has been equally critical of Monti, who headed a government of technocrats to haul Italy back from economic collapse after Silvio Berlusconi quit power in 2011.

"Monti's year in government left the country wounded," Vendola told foreign reporters in Rome on Thursday. "Austerity must be loosened to restore necessary oxygen to an economy that is out of breath."

Sporting a diamond-studded hoop earring, Vendola said Monti was "not the same" as centre-right leader Silvio Berlusconi but his social agenda was "unsuitable for younger generations".

Monti, a devout Catholic, said last month he was against gay marriage. Vendola, also a practising Catholic, has long campaigned for the right of same-sex couples to wed, so he can marry his boyfriend.

In Italy's socially conservative south, Vendola shocked even his own party by winning the governorship of Puglia - the heel of the Italian boot - in 2005. He was re-elected five years later with a larger share of the vote.

PRAGMATISM

Vendola proudly describes himself as coming from a "Catholic and communist" southern family, and joined his first communist organisation at 14.

Critics suggest if Vendola agrees to govern with Monti, he could hinder the radical reforms that economists say are necessary to revive Italy's stagnant economy.

Worse, they fear he could follow the footsteps of his mentor, former communist leader Fausto Bertinotti, who brought down the centre-left government in 1998.

Some say that is less likely to happen under Vendola as his carefully cultivated image as an idealist - a sometime poet whose florid speaking style is edged with a lisp - belies a steely pragmatism.

A senior official at the Bank of Italy said Vendola governed Puglia for eight years more "like a Christian Democrat" than a communist, and the business community has generally praised his stewardship.

"As governor, I saw in him a pragmatism that, frankly, I did not expect at all," Domenico Di Paola, the chief manager of Puglia's airports, which are controlled by the regional government, told Reuters.

"Before the vote Monti and Vendola have to be enemies," said Innocenzo Cipolletta, former chief economist for Italy's biggest business lobby and president of the University of Trento.

"Afterwards, since they are both reasonable people who care about the good of the country, they will find a way to reach an understanding."

Bersani, who signed a joint political programme with Vendola last year, says he will not drop his coalition partner and will mediate between Vendola and Monti if an alliance is needed.

"It's useless for people to tell me they won't deal with Vendola, because for me that is the same as saying they won't deal with me," Bersani said at a rally in Vendola's home region.

Vendola and Monti may have little choice but to get along. An inconclusive result could mean the only alternative to joining forces would be to hold fresh elections.

"Vendola is no fool, and Monti cannot take responsibility for making the country ungovernable," said Maurizio Pessato, vice chairman of polling institute SWG.

"They both know if they screw up they will all end up sitting on their couches at home instead of in parliament."

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UPDATE 2-Cyprus votes for president as clock ticks on bailout deal

Sun Feb 24, 2013 5:45am EST

* Vote pits investor favourite against anti-austerity opponent

* Cyprus ravaged by worst crisis in four decades

* New leader needs to hammer out urgently needed aid deal

* Polls close at 1600 GMT, result expected soon after

By Michele Kambas and Deepa Babington

NICOSIA, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Cypriots voted on Sunday in a runoff to elect a president who must clinch a bailout deal before the island nation plunges into a financial meltdown that would revive the euro zone debt crisis.

Conservative leader Nicos Anastasiades, who favours hammering out a quick deal with foreign lenders, is tipped to win against Communist-backed rival Stavros Malas, who is more wary of the austerity terms accompanying any rescue.

Financial markets are hoping for an Anastasiades victory to speed up a joint rescue by the European Union and International Monetary Fund before the island runs out of cash and derails fragile confidence returning to the euro zone.

The 66-year-old lawyer took more than 45 percent of the vote in the first round in the Greek-speaking Cypriot south, easily beating 45-year-old geneticist Malas, who took 27 percent.

Polls close at 1600 GMT, with the result expected soon afterwards.

The winner will take the reins of a Mediterranean nation ravaged by its worst economic crisis in four decades, with unemployment at a record high of 15 percent. Pay cuts and tax hikes ahead of a bailout have further soured the national mood.

"We have to choose between the lesser of two evils," said Georgia Xenophondos, a 23-year-old receptionist who voted for a third contender in the first round. She now plans to vote for the conservative chief, but is wary of backing more austerity.

"We are already damaged by it and I don't know if we can take anymore," she said. "We've hit poverty, unemployment and lost respect from the EU - things we didn't see five years ago."

Newspapers reflected the grim outlook, warning of an uphill climb for the new president. One described it as walking towards "Calvary", where the Bible says Jesus was crucified.

"He will be plunged straight into the deep end, and failure is not an option," the Simerini daily wrote.

Fewer voters were expected to show up at the polls than on Feb. 17 after the third-placed candidate refused to back either contender in the runoff, boosting Anastasiades's chances.

About a half million Cypriots are eligible to vote but many are expected to abstain or cast blank votes in protest. Both contenders have implored Cypriots not to shirk their duty.

"These elections are so crucial, that really, nobody can turn themselves into a passive spectator," Malas said as he voted on the outskirts of the divided capital Nicosia.

CROSSROAD

Talks to rescue Nicosia have dragged on eight months since it first sought help, after a Greek sovereign debt restructuring saddled its banks with losses. It is expected to need up to 17 billion euros in aid - worth the size of its entire economy.

Virtually all rescue options - from a bailout loan to a debt writedown or slapping losses on bank depositors - are proving unfeasible because they push Cypriot debt up to unmanageable levels or risk hurting investor sentiment elsewhere in the bloc.

German misgivings about the nation's commitment to fighting money laundering and strong financial ties with Russia have further complicated the negotiations.

European officials want a bailout agreed by the end of March, ensuring no honeymoon period for the new president, who will be sworn in on Feb. 28 and assume power on March 1.

Longstanding anger over the island's 40-year-old division into the Greek-speaking south and Turkish north has been relegated to a distant second behind the country's financial quagmire as an election issue this year.

"Cyprus is at a crossroads," Anastasiades said as he voted in the port town of Limassol, surrounded by his grandchildren.

"From tomorrow, whoever is elected, should be aware he has to deal with important, critical problems which our country is facing and the immediate handling of the economic crisis."

A heavy smoker known for his no-nonsense style, Anastasiades is widely respected but suffered political humiliation nine years ago when he supported a U.N. blueprint to reunify the island that was later rejected by the public.

He has suggested the island may even need a bridging loan to tide it over until a rescue is nailed down.

His younger rival Malas is handicapped by the support of the incumbent Communists who are perceived as having mismanaged the economic crisis and a munitions blast in 2011.

Still, he is expected to get a boost from his pledges to drive a hard bargain with lenders and anti-austerity rhetoric that resonates with many Cypriots struggling to make ends meet.

"Whatever happens in this vote, the day after is going to be very difficult for Cyprus," said Demetris Charalambous, a 56-year-old convenience store owner. "People are really depressed."

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LivingSocial investors take 'pound of flesh' in financing

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 23 Februari 2013 | 18.12

By Alistair Barr

SAN FRANCISCO | Fri Feb 22, 2013 9:14pm EST

SAN FRANCISCO Feb 22 (Reuters) - LivingSocial was forced to make large concessions to persuade some of its biggest investors to plow another $110 million into the second-largest daily-deal company, analysts and investors said on Friday.

Analysts say those investors secured advantageous terms potentially at the expense of LivingSocial's other backers. The nature of those terms shed new light on an investment that Chief Executive Tim O'Shaughnessy declared on Wednesday "a tremendous vote of confidence in our business."

For their $110 million, investors got special preferred securities that pay a 3 percent annual dividend, and almost guarantee that they get money before any proceeds from a sale of the company or an initial public offering go to earlier investors, according to a recently updated certificate of incorporation for LivingSocial viewed by Reuters.

The deal also requires LivingSocial to repay some or all of the money from the latest round of financing in four years, if there has not been a liquidity event - such as a sale or IPO. That measure, which protects their investment, would require 75 percent of the holders of the new securities, known as Series G, to vote for repayment, the certificate shows.

"The investors took their pound of flesh for LivingSocial to get this money," Sam Hamadeh of PrivCo, a research firm focused on private companies, said on Friday.

Like larger rival Groupon, LivingSocial and its rivals have suffered from a rapid loss of popularity of "daily deals" - deep discounts sold on the Internet on everything from spa treatments to dining.

LivingSocial raised hundreds of millions of dollars from Amazon.com Inc and venture capital firms to chase Groupon in the once-hot business. Then Groupon went public in 2011 and subsequently lost about two-thirds of its market value, putting pressure on LivingSocial's own valuation.

In a research report on Wednesday, Hamadeh described the deal as "emergency debt financing." O'Shaughnessy disputed PrivCo's report, so Hamadeh has since updated his research to show that the deal was equity, not debt.

"We wanted to clarify that," Hamadeh said on Friday. "But it's about as debt-like as you can get. They had to give up a lot."

Amazon and LivingSocial declined to comment for this story on Friday.

$3 BILLION VALUATION DROP?

In the latest round, LivingSocial sold 7.5 percent of the company for $110 million. That suggests the company is worth almost $1.5 billion now. In an earlier round of financing, the company was valued at roughly $4.5 billion.

"Yes, this was a down round, which I'm sure is not a shock to anyone," the CEO wrote. "Our main comp (comparison) in the market is down significantly from when we last fundraised."

Taking into account the special rights that the new Series G securities grant to their holders, the valuation is likely lower than $1.5 billion. That is because the preferred shares will effectively give the holders a stake in the company that is larger than 7.5 percent, in most future scenarios.

The Series G securities include a so-called liquidation preference, O'Shaughnessy noted in the memo.

Liquidation preferences, common in later rounds of venture capital financing, give investors the right to get back at least their original investment in the case of a liquidity event.

In the case of LivingSocial, a preference of one times the investment would mean Series G holders get $110 million back from a liquidity event, before other investors receive any proceeds. PrivCo said the round included liquidation preferences up to "several times" the $110 million.

O'Shaughnessy said in his memo that the preference was nowhere near the four times suggested in PrivCo's report, but conceded that it "slides up or down" based on a metric tied to LivingSocial's financial performance. He did not elaborate.

"Those investors are looking for some downside protection," said Lou Kerner, managing partner of The Social Internet Fund, which invests in rapidly growing social and mobile companies.

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WRAPUP 2-Abe vows to revive Japanese economy, sees no escalation with China

Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:09pm EST

* Abe pledges revived Japan to be strong US partner

* "Abenomics" to boost growth, demand for imports

* Abe firm on China but says seeks no escalation of islets row

* Japan, U.S. take step to bring Japan into trade pact talks

By Paul Eckert and Kiyoshi Takenaka

WASHINGTON, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told Americans on Friday "I am back and so is Japan" and vowed to get the world's third biggest economy growing again and to do more to bolster security and the rule of law in an Asia roiled by territorial disputes.

Abe had firm words for China in a policy speech to a top Washington think-tank, but also tempered his remarks by saying he had no desire to escalate a row over islets in the East China Sea that Tokyo controls and Beijing claims.

"No nation should make any miscalculation about firmness of our resolve. No one should ever doubt the robustness of the Japan-U.S. alliance," he told the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"At the same time, I have absolutely no intention to climb up the escalation ladder," Abe said in a speech in English.

After meeting U.S. President Barack Obama on his first trip to Washington since taking office in December in a rare comeback to Japan's top job, he said he told Obama that Tokyo would handle the islands issue "in a calm manner."

"We will continue to do so and we have always done so," he said through a translator, while sitting next to Obama in the White House Oval Office.

Tension surged in 2012, raising fears of an unintended military incident near the islands, known as the Senkaku in Japan and the Diaoyu in China. Washington says the islets fall under a U.S.-Japan security pact, but it is eager to avoid a clash in the region.

Abe said he and Obama "agreed that we have to work together to maintain the freedom of the seas and also that we would have to create a region which is governed based not on force but based on an international law."

Abe, whose troubled first term ended after just one year when he abruptly quit in 2007, has vowed to revive Japan's economy with a mix of hyper-easy monetary policy, big spending, and structural reform. The hawkish leader is also boosting Japan's defense spending for the first time in 11 years.

"Japan is not, and will never be, a tier-two country," Abe said in his speech. "So today ... I make a pledge. I will bring back a strong Japan, strong enough to do even more good for the betterment of the world."

'ABENOMICS' TO BOOST TRADE

The Japanese leader stressed that his "Abenomics" recipe would be good for the United States, China and other trading partners.

"Soon, Japan will export more, but it will import more as well," Abe said in the speech. "The U.S. will be the first to benefit, followed by China, India, Indonesia and so on."

Abe said Obama welcomed his economic policy, while Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Katsunobu Kato said the two leaders did not discuss currencies, in a sign that the U.S. does not oppose "Abenomics" despite concern that Japan is weakening its currency to export its way out of recession.

The United States and Japan agreed language during Abe's visit that could set the stage for Tokyo to join negotiations soon on a U.S.-led regional free trade agreement known as the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

In a carefully worded statement following the meeting between Obama and Abe, the two countries reaffirmed that "all goods would be subject to negotiations if Japan joins the talks with the United States and 10 other countries.

At the same time, the statement envisions a possible outcome where the United States could maintain tariffs on Japanese automobiles and Japan could still protect its rice sector.

"Recognizing that both countries have bilateral trade sensitivities, such as certain agricultural products for Japan and certain manufactured products for the United States, the two governments confirm that, as the final outcome will be determined during the negotiations, it is not required to make a prior commitment to unilaterally eliminate all tariffs upon joining the TPP negotiations," the statement said.

Abe repeated that Japan would not provide any aid for North Korea unless it abandoned its nuclear and missile programs and released Japanese citizens abducted decades ago to help train spies.

Pyongyang admitted in 2002 that its agents had kidnapped 13 Japanese in the 1970s and 1980s. Five have been sent home, but Japan wants better information about eight who Pyongyang says are dead and others Tokyo believes were also kidnapped.

Abe also said he hoped to have a meeting with new Chinese leader Xi Jinping, who takes over as president next month, and would dispatch Finance Minister Taro Aso to attend the inauguration of incoming South Korean President Park Geun-hye next week.

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UPDATE 1-Divided Egypt opposition attacks Mursi on election call

Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:30pm EST

* Polls will further inflame situation - ElBaradei

* Opposition grouping to consider boycott

* Polls are only way out of crisis - Islamists

By Marwa Awad

CAIRO, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Egypt's opposition attacked President Mohammed Mursi on Friday for calling elections during a national crisis, but face a test of unity in challenging Islamists who have won every poll since the 2011 revolution.

No sooner had Mursi called the parliamentary polls on Thursday than liberals and leftists accused him of deepening divisions between Islamists and their opponents. Some threatened to boycott voting which starts on April 27th and finishes in late June.

Voting is held in stages due to a shortage of election monitors and Mursi's choice of dates upset the Christian minority, which makes up about 10 percent of the population.

AlKalema, a Christian Coptic group, criticised the presidency for setting the first round to fall on the community's Easter religious holiday.

"This is total negligence of the Coptic community but an intentional move to exclude them from political life," AlKalema said in a statement. Egyptian tycoon Naguib Sawiris made similar statements criticising the vote timing.

Egypt's state TV Channel One and Nile TV said later in separate scrolling news headlines that the presidency would change the date of the parliamentary vote because it falls on Coptic Easter holidays, in an effort to appease the Coptic minority. But no official statement was issued by the presidency to that effect.

Islamists, including the Muslim Brotherhood which backs Mursi, dominated the old lower house, which was dissolved last year by court order. The new parliament will face tough decisions as Egypt is seeking an IMF loan deal which would ease its financial crisis but demand unpopular austerity.

Mursi called the elections, to be held in four stages around the country, hoping they can conclude Egypt's turbulent transition to democracy which began with the overthrow of autocrat Hosni Mubarak by popular protests.

Islamists hailed elections as the only way out of Egypt's political and economic crisis. However, liberal politician Mohamed ElBaradei said holding polls without reaching a national consensus would further "inflame the situation".

"The insistence on polarisation, exclusion and oppression along with ... the deteriorating economic and security situation will lead us to the abyss," ElBaradei, a former United Nations agency chief, said on his Twitter feed.

Egypt is split between the Islamists, who want national life to observe religion more closely, and opposition groups which hold a wide variety of visions for the future.

Across Egypt there were scattered protests in Alexandria and Port Said, while a demonstration in Cairo's Tahrir Square was muted as a sandstorm enveloped the capital.

Like the fractious opposition, the demonstrators had widely varying demands. Some called on Mursi to step down while others pressed for the military, which long backed Mubarak and his predecessors, to step back in to run Egypt.

BOYCOTT DECISION

The National Salvation Front (NSF), which groups a number of parties opposed to the Islamists, said it would hammer out its stand on the elections.

"We will meet early next week to decide on whether we will boycott or go ahead with elections. But as you can see, the opposition overall is upset over this unilateral decision on part of the presidency. This was a rushed decision," said NSF spokesman Khaled Dawood.

Dawood said Egypt should have other priorities such as changing the controversial new constitution produced last year by an assembly dominated by Islamists. "Solve these issues first then talk about elections," added Dawood.

While the opposition can agree on attacking Mursi, previous boycott threats have fizzled out. It remains fractured and disorganised, unlike the well-financed and efficient Islamist election machines which have triumphed in votes for the presidency and parliament.

"We face a difficult political decision and time is running out. The opposition faces a test of its ability to remain united," said Amr Hamzawy, a professor of politics at Cairo University and former liberal lawmaker.

ISLAMISTS READY FOR VOTE

Islamist parties and groups welcomed the new elections and dismissed the boycott threat.

"Elections are the only way out of the crisis. The people must be able to choose those they see fit. The majority of political forces will not boycott the elections," said Tarek al-Zumor of the Building and Development Party.

Essam Erian, member of the Muslim Brotherhood's ruling Freedom and Justice Party, said parliament would unite Egypt's political life.

"The coming parliament will hold a variety of national voices: Islamist, conservative, liberal and leftist. Everyone realises the importance of the coming period and withholding one's vote is a big mistake," Erian said on his Facebook page.

Islamists are likely to form coalitions and dominate the new parliament as they did in the previous short-lived lower house, which was dissolved after the Constitutional Court struck down the law used to elect it.

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EU says cash-starved Cyprus' economy will be twice as bad as predicted

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 22 Februari 2013 | 18.12

By Michele Kambas

NICOSIA | Fri Feb 22, 2013 5:23am EST

NICOSIA Feb 22 (Reuters) - The European Commission on Friday slashed its economic outlook for cash-starved Cyprus, doubling its recession forecast for the tiny Mediterranean nation in desperate need of a financial bailout.

The island will see its 17.9 billion euro economy contract by 3.5 percent this year, the Commission said in its winter economic forecast. The previous autumn forecast released in November had output contracting by 1.7 percent in 2013.

"Risks remain important and tilted to the downside," the Commission said. Conclusion of an adjustment programme would be of "paramount importance" in stabilising Cyprus's economy, it added.

The economy was expected to contract by a further 1.3 percent in 2014.

Cyprus, one of the smallest euro zone economies, has applied for aid from the International Monetary Fund and the IMF to deal with its worst economic crisis in more than four decades.

The island sought aid last year and needs up to 17.5 billion euros ($23.14 billion) to shore up a banking sector heavily exposed to Greece and to plug fiscal gaps.

But bailout talks have dragged on, complicated by debt sustainability concerns, German misgivings about the island's commitment to financial transparency and delayed by a presidential election the island holds this Sunday.

Out of pocket and shut out of markets since mid-2011, Cyprus has been increasingly relying on short-term expensive borrowing from domestic institutions until aid is released.

Nicos Anastasiades, a pro-bailout candidate who is the favourite to win Sunday's elections, told Reuters in an interview he had "sounded out" institutions, including governments, to give Cyprus a bridging loan before the conclusion of a bailout deal.

Much needed fiscal measures introduced by Cyprus in anticipation of a bailout, record-high unemployment and financial sector deleveraging would be affecting output, the Commission said. In addition, uncertainty was a drag on business and consumer confidence.

"The conclusion of a macro-economic adjustment programme would be of paramount importance in stabilising the economy, but risks would remain on both the external environment and the domestic front," it said.

Unemployment was set to worsen further in coming years to 13.7 percent in 2013, and to 14.2 percent in 2014.

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TREASURIES-T-notes dip after German data, rebound seen unlikely

LONDON | Fri Feb 22, 2013 5:33am EST

LONDON Feb 22 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries dipped on Friday after German data beat forecasts and Europe was likely to dominate sentiment for much of the day with investors awaiting figures on banks' early repayments of ECB loans.

Treasury futures fell 4/32 to 131-43/64, giving back some of the gains made earlier this week, although 10-year yields remained below the closely watched 2 percent barrier.

Traders cited a small increase in selling pressure after the release of the German Ifo sentiment survey, which beat forecasts and tempered some of the gloom of downbeat data elsewhere in the euro zone earlier this week.

Treasuries were seen struggling to regain losses throughout the remainder of the session, with many viewing current prices as high, even with the prospect of enforced U.S. government spending cuts beginning to bite next week.

"A lot of people are looking at the March 1 cuts deadline but I'm not necessarily sure that's going to help the market rally significantly from here - we're below 2 percent right now and these are lofty levels for Treasuries," a trader said.

UBS Technical charts also showed resistance to further price rises with Treasury futures struggling to break the 38 percent retracement of the December to February selloff which stands at 131-63/64.

"This must be broken to trigger a more extended recovery," said UBS's Richard Adcock, who recommended selling the contract at 131-24/32 with a view to buying back at 130-20/32.

Shorter-dated U.S. bonds could suffer later in the session if data shows banks opted to repay a large amount of emergency loans from the European Central Bank ahead of schedule. That would spur expectations of higher money market rates in the euro zone, which would have a wide-reaching impact.

"If we do get a big number, the selloff in the front end of the curve will spill over into the U.S. ... The market is expecting between 125 and 150 billion (euros). If it's significantly larger than that, I'd expect pressure on the curve," the trader said.

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UPDATE 1-Ukraine will not raise household gas prices - Yanukovich

Fri Feb 22, 2013 5:39am EST

* IMF has told Ukraine it should raise gas prices

* Ukraine negotiating $15 bln loan from Fund

KIEV Feb 22 (Reuters) - Ukraine's president promised on Friday his government would not raise the price of gas in households across the country, a pledge which could complicate Kiev's talks with the IMF for a new $15 billion loan.

"You can be certain of this ... We are not going to raise gas prices for the population or for industry," Viktor Yanukovich said in a televised question-and-answer session with people around the country.

The International Monetary Fund, which has held talks with Kiev on a new stand-by loan, insists that raising the heavily-subsidised prices of gas is key to cutting Ukraine's budget deficit and making state finances sustainable.

An IMF mission which visited Kiev earlier this month raised the issue again saying that large subsidies on gas and heating for households continued "to undermine Ukraine's budget and its balance of payments".

The Fund, which is sending a team again to Kiev in March to continue talks on a new loan, warned Ukraine it faced a second year of near-zero growth and was vulnerable to further shocks due to its high current account deficit.

The former Soviet republic relies hugely on gas imported from Russia to heat its homes and power its industry, but its economy is dragged down by the high price if pays for supplies from Russia - $430 per thousand cubic metres.

Yanukovich's government has tried to persuade Russia to lower the price of gas which is fixed in a 10-year contract brokered in 2009 by the previous government of now-jailed prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko - so far unsuccessfully.

Yanukovich, who faces re-election in 2015, said: "I think we can revive normal relations with Russia in the gas sector and we are working on this. We are not losing hope."

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Spain sells 4.2 bln euros of debt at triple bond sale

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 21 Februari 2013 | 18.12

MADRID | Thu Feb 21, 2013 4:56am EST

MADRID Feb 21 (Reuters) - Spain sold 4.2 billion euros ($5.6 billion) of debt at a triple bond sale on Thursday, beating the top end of the target amount and at rates on the shorter-dated paper lower than when it last sold early February.

The bond due March 31, 2015, sold 1.1 billion euros at an average yield of 2.54 percent, compared to 2.823 percent when it last issued Feb. 7. The bond was 3.7 times subscribed after 2.2 times earlier this month.

The bond due Oct. 31, 2019, sold 548 million euros at a yield of 4.275 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.5. The paper last sold July 2012 at a yield of 6.701 percent and was 2.9 times subscribed.

The 10-year benchmark bond, with maturity at Jan. 31, 2023 and a coupon of 5.4 percent, sold 2.6 billion euros at an average yield of 5.202 percent and was 1.6 times subscribed. The bond was first introduced in a syndicated debt sale Jan. 22 when it sold 7 billion euros.


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Banco do Brasil beats profit estimate as revenue jumps

SAO PAULO | Thu Feb 21, 2013 5:19am EST

SAO PAULO Feb 21 (Reuters) - Banco do Brasil SA beat fourth-quarter profit estimates on Thursday, as Brazil's largest bank by assets boost revenue and kept expenses under control amid a surge in loan disbursements.

Recurring net income, or a measure of profit that excludes one-time items, rose 20 percent to 3.180 billion reais ($1.6 billion) from the prior quarter, according to a securities filing. A Thomson Reuters poll of four analysts had predicted recurring profit of 2.464 billion reais for the fourth quarter.


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Egypt says to invite IMF team within a week for talks

CAIRO | Thu Feb 21, 2013 5:20am EST

CAIRO Feb 21 (Reuters) - The Egyptian government plans within one week to invite an International Monetary Fund mission for talks, Planning Minister Ashraf al-Araby said on Thursday, signalling an imminent resumption of negotiations over a $4.8 billion loan.

Egypt reached an initial agreement with the IMF on the loan agreement in November but postponed final ratification in December because of political unrest at the time.

"God willing, we expect to invite the IMF delegation within days," Araby told a news conference. Asked to be more specific, he said: "Within days, no more than a week."


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"Amazon tax" payoff starts to arrive in some U.S. states

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 20 Februari 2013 | 18.12

Wed Feb 20, 2013 4:59am EST

* After years of fighting, online sellers charging some sales tax

* Collections fall short of biggest predictions, $96.4 mln for Calif.

By Nanette Byrnes

Feb 20 (Reuters) - Sales tax from Internet commerce, a prize pursued for years by U.S. state governments, is starting to arrive in California and a few other states, providing millions of dollars in new revenue, though not as much as a benchmark study once forecast.

After fighting hard to get e-tailers such as Amazon.com Inc to start charging sales tax, and eventually passing a law requiring collection, the California Board of Equalization reported last week it took in $96.4 million in September-December 2012, its first full quarter of collections.

Coinciding with the holiday shopping season, that result put the state well on its way to meeting its forecast budget of $107 million in new e-taxes for the fiscal year that began July 1, 2012, as set by the California Department of Finance.

But that revenue falls far short of ambitious expectations set in 2009 by a University of Tennessee study that greatly influenced the online sales tax debate nationwide.

The study estimated that California, if it did not act to collect more online sales tax, would miss out on as much as $1.9 billion in 2012 revenue. Nationwide, it estimated, states would fail to collect $11.4 billion in 2012.

The Tennessee study fueled states' demands in recent years for more tax power over online commerce. Like California, more states will be collecting new e-revenues in months ahead. So it is too soon to make firm judgments, but early results suggest the Tennessee study and others like it were over-ambitious.

"To the extent the estimates being used are overstating reality, and I think they are, it is not solving anyone's deficit problem," said Jeff Eisenach, a managing director at economic research group Navigant Economics.

Eisenach co-authored a study on e-commerce and sales tax and said he advises being "conservative rather than hopeful."

Eisenach's study, sponsored by NetChoice, a trade group that opposes online taxation, pegged the national online sales tax potential at $3.9 billion, about a third of Tennessee's number.

The dawning of sales tax as a reality in the world of online commerce marks a turning point not only for the states that are starting to collect it, but for Internet vendors and consumers.

Amazon, for instance, for many years and in most states, did not collect sales tax, enjoying as a result a pricing advantage over older, bricks-and-mortar retailers. That is changing fast.

At the moment, Amazon is collecting sales tax in nine states including California, and will add seven more in the next year. In some states the online retailer has struck agreements to collect, in others like California and New York it is complying with new state law.

Having to do that may partly explain a recent deceleration in growth for the world's largest online retailer, said RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney, though he added that over time that effect should ease.

For consumers in states where the tax is now being charged online, it means an end to tax-free shopping on the web, at least when it comes to the largest and most developed e-tailers.

Despite moderating revenue expectations, more states are sure to keep pushing for e-commerce taxation because that is where the growth is. Online sales growth has outpaced that of traditional stores for years. By 2015, $175 billion a year will migrate online from stores, Deloitte Consulting estimated.

HIGH HOPES FROM UNIV. OF TENNESSEE

In the long struggle between states and e-tailers over online sales tax, the Tennessee study was widely cited by those who have pushed for more taxation at the state level and for national legislation to address the issue.

Some state politicians have used figures similar to that of the Tennessee study as a basis for building future Internet sales tax receipts into their budgets.

Virginia Governor Robert McDonnell has projected the state could get $1.6 billion in online sales tax over the next five years. He has predicted that Congress will pass by July 1 a bill to give states the right to require online retailers to collect sales tax. Though this measure has languished in Congress for years, it has recently gained some new political support.

On Thursday, 53 members of the Senate and the House of Representatives reintroduced the bill in Congress.

Representative Steve Womack, a Republican from Arkansas, where the nation's largest brick-and-mortar retailer Wal-Mart Stores is based, said the lack of collection of sales tax online is hurting state and local governments.

"It affects everybody," he said at a press conference for the bill. "It affects schools. It affects policemen, it affects firemen, it affects anybody engaged in public service."

Amazon quickly pledged its support for the national legislation, as it has done in the past.

At the same time, in New York, Amazon and Overstock.com are fighting a state sales tax collection law.

Retailers there are collecting the tax as they fight it out in court. Online retailers have remitted $360 million in sales tax on more than $4 billion in taxable retail sales as of February 2012, according to the New York State Department of Taxation and Finance.

That is 90 percent of all taxable online sales, New York said, but far less than the $2.5 billion the University of Tennessee study predicted for the state over the same period.

In Georgia, the most recent state to require sales tax collection by remote sellers, local retailers said Amazon is not collecting sales tax though the law has required it to do so since January 1. The state's proposed fiscal 2014 budget includes $18 million in new Internet sales tax revenue.

Amazon declined to comment.

"If this revenue doesn't come through we'll have to cut education or some other important area," said Georgia Senator Steve Henson, Democratic leader of the state Senate.

Professor William Fox, leader of the Tennessee study, said that the difference between his study's estimates and lower state collections may reflect the fact that smaller e-retailers often are exempt from collection.

Broader trends support the study's findings, he said, including the fact that sales tax collections have lagged overall economic growth. To Fox, that suggests that untaxed e-commerce has grown, continuing to sap sales taxes.

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