CANADA FX DEBT-C$ slides on soft Canadian GDP, U.S. dollar flows

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 01 November 2014 | 18.12

Fri Oct 31, 2014 4:47pm EDT

  (Updates with fresh comment, new details, closing figures)      * Canadian dollar at C$1.1286 or 88.61 U.S. cents      * Bond prices mostly weaker across the maturity curve        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar dropped to  its weakest level in more than a week against its U.S.  counterpart on Friday after data showed the country's economy  unexpectedly shrank in August for the first time in eight  months.      The currency's weaker tone was set overnight after the Bank  of Japan shocked financial markets around the world by expanding  its massive stimulus spending. The move sent the yen   plunging to a near seven-year low against the U.S. dollar.          Meanwhile, inflation data in the euro zone reinforced the  view that the European Central Bank would hold off on any policy  action at its meeting next week.       "What happened in Japan overnight and Europe (caused) a  significant flow to the U.S. dollar, which Canada wasn't able to  keep up with. It started us off on the wrong foot overnight,"  said Ken Wills, currency strategist and broker at CanadianForex.      U.S. data showed the pace of business activity growth  accelerated more than expected this month, which furthered the  flow into U.S. dollars, Wills said.      The Canadian dollar finished the week at C$1.1271  to the greenback, or 88.72 U.S. cents, significantly softer than  Thursday's close of C$1.1196, or 89.32 U.S. cents.      At one point during the session, the loonie, which was  underperforming most of its counterparts, weakened to C$1.1332,  or 88.25 U.S. cents.      Wills said there was still room for further Canadian dollar  weakness, however, he did not anticipate the currency to break  the C$1.1385 level.      In Canada, real gross domestic product fell 0.1 percent in  August, hurt by plant maintenance in the oil and gas industry  that slowed production and by a drop in manufacturing activity.          "It's just a bit of an additional headwind. It doesn't quite  buy into the narrative that we're hoping to see," said David  Tulk, chief Canada macro strategist at TD Securities, who said  the GDP drop was not too surprising given fairly weak economic  data globally for August.      "Our expectation is that it will reassert itself in  September and going into the final quarter of the year."      In the United States, consumer spending fell for the first  time in eight months in September, but the slowdown was expected  to be temporary as other data showed the biggest increase in  wages in more than six years in the third quarter.         "It's sort of a perfect storm, where you get the weakness in  the Canadian economy ... But also on the U.S. side, you have the  employment cost index that was stronger than people had  thought," Tulk said.      "That gives you your perfect storm, insofar as you see that  potential momentum in wages under the surface in the United  States, which brings the Fed arguably closer to taking rates  higher."      Earlier this week, the U.S. central bank said it was ending  its monthly bond purchase program and adopted a more hawkish  tone on the economy.      Canadian government bond prices were mixed across the  maturity curve, with the two-year bond up 2.5  Canadian cents to yield of 1.025 percent. The benchmark 10-year   lost 2 Canadian cents to yield 2.049 percent.         (Reporting by Solarina Ho; Editing by Peter Galloway and  Meredith Mazzilli)  
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