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Cheap energy pulls down euro zone producer prices more than expected

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 03 Februari 2015 | 18.12

BRUSSELS Tue Feb 3, 2015 5:00am EST

BRUSSELS Feb 3 (Reuters) - A steep fall in the prices of energy pulled down producer prices more than expected in December, data showed on Tuesday, setting the scene for more consumer price falls in the coming months.

The European Union's statistics office said that producer prices in the 18 countries that shared the euro in December 2014 fell 1.0 percent month-on-month for a 2.7 percent year-on-year decline.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected a 0.7 percent monthly and a 2.5 percent annual fall.

Eurostat data showed that an 8.3 percent year-on-year plunge of energy prices had the biggest impact on the overall result. Durable consumer goods and capital goods, however, were 1.3 percent and 0.6 percent more expensive than a year earlier.

Producer prices signal early inflationary trends, because unless their changes are offset by retailers, they have a direct impact on prices of consumer goods, which fell by 0.2 percent year-on-year in December and by 0.6 percent in January.

The European Central Bank wants to keep consumer price inflation below, but close to 2 percent.

Having cut interest rates to almost zero, the bank announced at the end of January that it would start buying government bonds to inject more cash into the economy and trigger faster price rises to avoid deflation. (Reporting By Jan Strupczewski; editing by Philip Blenkinsop)

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U.S. small-business borrowing up in December -PayNet

Tue Feb 3, 2015 5:00am EST

Feb 3 (Reuters) - U.S. small businesses took out more loans in December, according to data released on Tuesday, with companies in consumer-dependent industries like transportation, food and accommodation driving the increase.

The Thomson Reuters/PayNet Small Business Lending Index rose to 129.8, the third-highest level on record, and compares to an upwardly revised November reading of 117.6. The index was set at 100 at its January 2005 launch, and peaked two years later at 131.7 before plummeting to about half that level around the time of the Great Recession. The index set a new record of 132 in October 2014, the revised figures show.

"It's a domestic consumer story," PayNet founder Bill Phelan said, noting that a decline in oil prices helped fuel the renewed borrowing.

Companies in the transportation business increased borrowing by 27 percent in December, he said, and borrowing by companies in food and accommodation rose 13 percent. That compares with overall year-on-year borrowing growth of 10 percent.

Meanwhile, small companies in oil patch areas like North Dakota pulled back on borrowing.

Loan delinquencies ticked down to 1.54 percent, separate PayNet data showed, a sign that despite an overall increase in borrowing in 2014, businesses are for the most part repaying what they owe.

PayNet collects real-time loan information such as originations and delinquencies from more than 250 leading U.S. lenders. (Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

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UPDATE 3-Oil prices jump as BP cuts capital expenditure

Tue Feb 3, 2015 5:04am EST

* Prices up more than 11 pct in last two sessions

* BP cuts capex by 13 percent

* Cost cutting may 'seed' price recovery -Bernstein (Changes dateline, previous SINGAPORE, updates prices, adds quote)

By Himanshu Ojha

LONDON, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Oil futures rose on Tuesday, adding to gains of more than 11 percent in the prior two sessions as BP announced a cut in capital expenditure for 2015.

BP announced it would cut capital expenditure by 13 percent to $20 billion in 2015. Last week, Chevron announced a 13 percent cut in capital expenditure to $35 billion.

The announcement of capital expenditure cuts by major oil companies are helping support prices, said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.

"We've seen a lot of oil companies announce significant cuts in capacity expenditure and reductions in rig counts. What you're getting at the moment is a paring back of expectations as a result of the measures being taken," Hewson said.

Brent crude oil futures were up $1.90 cents at $56.65 a barrel as of 0934 GMT. U.S. WTI futures were at $51.08 a barrel, up $1.51 cents.

Prices jumped in the past two days after data showed the number of U.S. oil drilling rigs had fallen the most in a week in nearly 30 years. Month-end covering by traders taking profits on short positions added to the rally.

Some investors are betting a floor has formed under the market's seven-month-long rout, with signs that a fall in drilling activity at U.S. shale deposits has raised concerns about future production.

"The seeds of an oil price recovery are being sown," Bernstein analysts said in a note, warning of downside risk to oil supply in places such as the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea and Brazil, as companies cut costs in response to a fall of up to 60 percent in oil prices since mid-June.

"Supply is unlikely to match expectations and demand will recover from last year's lows," the analysts said.

Others warned against getting too excited about falling rig counts in the United States. Analysts at Morgan Stanley said the relationship between rig count and production can be deceptive.

"Headline rig count declines may look impressive, but as we look at the data, much of the drop in oil rig count has come in low yielding vertical or directional rigs, i.e. the low-hanging fruit," they said.

Two OPEC delegates, one from a Gulf producer, said they could not rule out oil prices dropping to as low as $30 to $35, due to weak demand combined with global refinery maintenance in the first and second quarters of 2015.

(Additional reporting by Jacob Gronholdt-Pedersen and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; editing by Jason Neely)

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ECB's Coeure says will do more if planned bond buying not enough

Written By Unknown on Senin, 02 Februari 2015 | 18.12

BUDAPEST Mon Feb 2, 2015 5:16am EST

BUDAPEST Feb 2 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank will reassess its bond-buying programme as it progresses towards its stated end in 2016 and is ready to do more if needed to lift inflation toward the bank's target, ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said on Monday.

"We intend to buy bonds until September 2016, which is 19 months, which is in total 1,140 billion euros, that is the intention," Coeure told reporters on the sidelines of a central banking conference in Budapest.

"We have also said this will be done until we see a sustained convergence towards our definition of price stability.

"Yes, it is an open-ended programme, it will be reassessed when we come closer to September 2016, and if this aim of achieving sustained convergence towards 2 percent (inflation) in the medium term is not reached, we will do more."

He declined to comment on Greece in detail, saying political dialogue was under way between the new government and its European partners. (Reporting by Jan Lopatka and Gergely Szakacs; Editing by Robin Pomeroy)


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BRIEF-German Federal Cartel office approves CSR-Qualcomm Global Trading deal

Mon Feb 2, 2015 5:32am EST

* German Federal Cartel office has granted approval for acquisition of CSR by Qualcomm Global Prading Pte. Ltd.

* Approval for acquisition has previously been granted by US federal trade commission

* Acquisition is expected to close in late summer 2015.

* Completion remains subject to merger control approvals in China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan as set out in rule 2.7 announcement issued on 15 October 2014 Source text for Eikon: Further company coverage:


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TABLE-Economists raise Brazil's 2015 inflation view to 7.01 pct

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.


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New Jersey Governor heads to UK for trade, politics, soccer

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 01 Februari 2015 | 18.12

By Megan Davies and Hilary Russ

NEW YORK Sun Feb 1, 2015 12:01am EST

NEW YORK Feb 1 (Reuters) - New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, a likely 2016 Republican presidential contender, will be promoting his state's life sciences industry in a trip to the United Kingdom starting Sunday, where he is also scheduled to meet the Prime Minister and catch an Arsenal match.

The brash, charismatic second-term governor is expected to soon announce whether he intents to run for president. On Jan. 23, Christie supporters formed a political action committee, the biggest indication yet that he will make a bid for the White House.

The UK is the third largest trading partner for New Jersey after Canada and Mexico, and the trip will focus on pursuing new opportunities for growth between UK and New Jersey in the field of life sciences, Christie told reporters on Friday in embargoed remarks.

"One of the main objectives for the trip is to focus on the opportunities that exist between the UK and New Jersey and our country as a whole," said Christie.

Christie will attend a life sciences round table in Cambridge with participation from New Jersey-based biopharmaceutical company Celgene.

He will meet with British Prime Minister David Cameron on the trip and watch football team Arsenal play Aston Villa on Sunday - but also hopes on Sunday to catch the Super Bowl, the biggest annual showdown of the U.S.'s National Football League.

"I'm looking forward to going to the Arsenal game and hopefully watch a bit of the Super Bowl as well and do the work we need to do to bring more jobs back to New Jersey by creating a stronger relationship between our state and our third largest trading partner," Christie said.

Christie, who recently courted controversy over whether he should have gone to Texas for a Jan. 4 Dallas Cowboys game, could end up squaring off against any of a number of other Republicans in the quest for political and financial support.

Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker are some of the leading rivals who so far have formed political action committees (PACs) to raise funds.

In January, Christie, 52, aimed to grab the spotlight in Iowa at the first big gathering of likely 2016 Republican contenders..

Last year, Christie went on a three-day trade mission to Mexico and spent a significant amount of time out of New Jersey while traveling the United States as the then-chairman of the Republican Governors Association. (Reporting by Megan Davies and Hilary Russ; Editing by Bernard Orr)

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RPT-New Jersey's Revel Casino sale delayed while judge reviews appeal

Sat Jan 31, 2015 6:12pm EST

(Repeats to widen distribution)

By Daniel Kelley

PHILADELPHIA Jan 31 (Reuters) - A U.S. federal appeals court has delayed the sale of the shuttered Revel Casino in Atlantic City pending an appeal by a company that ran its nightclub and boardwalk dance club.

The order, issued late on Friday by Third U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals Court Judge Thomas Ambro, gives attorneys for Revel until Tuesday to respond to the appeal filed by IDEA Boardwalk, Llc.

The company, along with several restaurants which had also leased space inside the casino, had lost a challenge to the sale in a Jan. 21 federal court. The sale to Florida developer Glen Straub, who bought Revel in bankruptcy court for $95.4 million, was expected to be completed by Feb. 7.

The nightclub appealed that order, claiming the sale could cost it some $16 million it had invested to build bars, bathrooms and sound systems as part of its 25-year lease.

Revel, which cost $2.4 billion to build and opened just two years ago, closed on Sept. 2 after filing for bankruptcy three months earlier.

Revel was conceived as a Las Vegas-style resort that emphasized high-end dining and eye-catching design over bus tours that other Atlantic City casinos have relied upon.

The nightclub and restaurants were a popular aspect of the otherwise unsuccessful casino, and they were often full as the gaming floor and hotel rooms stood empty.

Straub's attorneys have said they were willing to walk away from the $95.4 million sale, which was approved on Jan. 5 by Bankruptcy Court Judge Gloria Burns, and forfeit a $10 million deposit if Straub was not given control or if the deal was halted.

Stuart Moskovitz, an attorney representing Straub, said he expects a quick decision from the court.

"We are anticipating to be able to purchase this exactly the way Judge Burns ordered," he said. "The only thing stayed is the sale, not the negotiations."

Revel was one of four Atlantic City casinos to close last year. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has appointed attorney Kevin Lavin as emergency manager of the financially strapped seaside gaming city. (Editing by Victoria Cavaliere and Alan Crosby)

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Austrians rue starting fashion for Swiss franc mortgages

Sun Feb 1, 2015 3:00am EST

* Swiss franc surge swells mortgage debt in euro

* Repayment vehicles often lack returns to repay loans

* Nearly a fifth of loans to households in foreign currency

By Michael Shields and Angelika Gruber

VIENNA, Feb 1 (Reuters) - The surging Swiss franc has dealt a double blow to homeowners in Austria, home of the trend for borrowing in the Swiss currency that has devastated mortgage holders across eastern Europe.

In the early 1990s, people living in the west of the country who crossed into Switzerland to work were lured by the ultra low interest rates offered in the safe-haven currency.

The idea then spread, crossing a fundamental red line that was barely perceptible at the time: the new borrowers were not earning Swiss francs but euros.

Foreign-currency loans now account for nearly a fifth of household debt in Austria, even though regulators effectively banned them in 2008 for fear of a looming crisis. Around 150,000 families still owe around 29 billion euros of Swiss franc debt, with 4 percent of loans due within a year.

Banks' loan books could take a hit if defaults rise. Austrians are relatively wealthy and have benefited from rises in property prices, but poorly performing insurance policies sold alongside many mortgages present an added twist.

From loans to Austrians, it was a short step for Austrian banks to start selling Swiss franc-denominated mortgages through the large networks they set up in Poland, Hungary and Romania after communism fell in 1989.

Ratings agency Fitch said four big banks - Erste, Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI), Bank Austria and Volksbanken - held 30 billion euros of Swiss franc loans on their books in central and eastern Europe.

Back home, it was not relative inexperience of the financial services industry but proximity to it that caused the biggest trouble; mortgages were often linked to investment schemes designed to repay the loans at maturity.

"You often had a wealth adviser in your circle of acquaintances or family, and then you fell into their hands," said Peter Kolba of consumer advocate agency VKI.

These fee-hungry consultants often advised people to borrow twice as much as they actually needed to buy a home, and to invest the rest to finance the loan repayment.

One woman facing a 50,000 euro loss on her loan package, 20,000 of it since the Swiss central bank suddenly abandoned its cap on the franc on Jan. 15, said it was easy to be taken in.

"It looks so great when the financial advisers show you how much cheaper it is," she said, asking not to be named. "I wasn't aware (of the risk), but admit to a certain amount of naiveté."

Accompanying investment schemes were supposed to easily pay off the interest-only mortgage at maturity but were unrealistic, Kolba said.

"It would add up only if a market - counter to all expectations - only went up. The model was driven by the provisions paid for the products that were being sold," he said, noting brokers could make 10,000 euros in fees from the package of mortgage and investment funds sold to one client.

Banks have consistently offered to help customers switch out of Swiss franc loans into less-risky euro mortgages. But many clients failed to follow through in hope they could erase initial currency losses, only to get nailed again in January.

The rating agencies say the big local component of Austrian banks' loan portfolios means the risks to them are low, citing rising property prices and relatively wealthy clients.

"With two-thirds of Swiss franc mortgages held domestically, we expect asset quality deterioration to be moderate, despite the significant exposure," Fitch said.

In December, however, the Austrian central bank called the high share of foreign-currency loans "a major risk factor with respect to the financial position of Austrian households".

UNDER WATER

Erste and Bank Austria say they won't take big hits from the franc's rise. RBI has no Swiss franc retail loans in Austria and has played down the impact in eastern Europe. The Association of Volksbanks says its share of foreign-currency loans is the Austrian sector's lowest.

The typical floating-rate FX loan was worth 100,000 euros and ran from 15 to 25 years. Customers usually pay only monthly interest, with the full amount of capital due at maturity.

Christian Prantner, an expert on the mortgages at Austria's Chamber of Labour, spoke of one colleague who in 2005 took out a 20-year Swiss franc mortgage for 145,000 euros. She also bought a life insurance policy linked to two investment funds that was supposed to pay off the mortgage when it came due in 2025.

After paying in 70,000 worth of premiums, her account is worth only 50,000 after markets tanked in the financial crisis.

"She is half way through and has 10 years to go. The fund-linked insurance policy will never cover even the original loan amount, let alone what you get by converting the currency at a rate of 1.01" francs per euro, he said.

Nearly three quarters of foreign-currency mortgages due at maturity are backed by such repayment vehicles. Only a fifth get both interest and principal paid in regular monthly instalments.

One bright note is that residential property prices increased by 45 percent from early 2007 to mid-2014, or by 24 percent adjusted for inflation, central bank data show.

That is good for borrowers and banks, Prantner said. "But it can also mean customers who stick with the loan and wait until the end can have a giant gap of 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 (euros), that they then may have to sell the house" to pay the mortgage.

The latest blow is for investors who took out "stop-loss" orders to convert Swiss francs to euros should the 1.20 peg fail, Kolba said. This backfired when the franc rose so much so fast that banks could close out positions only much lower.

The woman with the franc loan said her bank executed her stop-loss order only when the euro and franc were at 1:1, not the level just under 1.20 she wanted. "That was a shock," she said, adding she had hired a lawyer to review her options.

Kolba said the best bet for many borrowers would be using a new consumer arbitration process financed by the government to reach a compromise with their lender. (Editing by Philippa Fletcher)

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Austrians rue starting fashion for Swiss franc mortgages

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 31 Januari 2015 | 18.12

Sat Jan 31, 2015 3:00am EST

* Swiss franc surge swells mortgage debt in euro

* Repayment vehicles often lack returns to repay loans

* Nearly a fifth of loans to households in foreign currency

By Michael Shields and Angelika Gruber

VIENNA, Feb 1 (Reuters) - The surging Swiss franc has dealt a double blow to homeowners in Austria, home of the trend for borrowing in the Swiss currency that has devastated mortgage holders across eastern Europe.

In the early 1990s, people living in the west of the country who crossed into Switzerland to work were lured by the ultra low interest rates offered in the safe-haven currency.

The idea then spread, crossing a fundamental red line that was barely perceptible at the time: the new borrowers were not earning Swiss francs but euros.

Foreign-currency loans now account for nearly a fifth of household debt in Austria, even though regulators effectively banned them in 2008 for fear of a looming crisis. Around 150,000 families still owe around 29 billion euros of Swiss franc debt, with 4 percent of loans due within a year.

Banks' loan books could take a hit if defaults rise. Austrians are relatively wealthy and have benefited from rises in property prices, but poorly performing insurance policies sold alongside many mortgages present an added twist.

From loans to Austrians, it was a short step for Austrian banks to start selling Swiss franc-denominated mortgages through the large networks they set up in Poland, Hungary and Romania after communism fell in 1989.

Ratings agency Fitch said four big banks - Erste, Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI), Bank Austria and Volksbanken - held 30 billion euros of Swiss franc loans on their books in central and eastern Europe.

Back home, it was not relative inexperience of the financial services industry but proximity to it that caused the biggest trouble; mortgages were often linked to investment schemes designed to repay the loans at maturity.

"You often had a wealth adviser in your circle of acquaintances or family, and then you fell into their hands," said Peter Kolba of consumer advocate agency VKI.

These fee-hungry consultants often advised people to borrow twice as much as they actually needed to buy a home, and to invest the rest to finance the loan repayment.

One woman facing a 50,000 euro loss on her loan package, 20,000 of it since the Swiss central bank suddenly abandoned its cap on the franc on Jan. 15, said it was easy to be taken in.

"It looks so great when the financial advisers show you how much cheaper it is," she said, asking not to be named. "I wasn't aware (of the risk), but admit to a certain amount of naiveté."

Accompanying investment schemes were supposed to easily pay off the interest-only mortgage at maturity but were unrealistic, Kolba said.

"It would add up only if a market - counter to all expectations - only went up. The model was driven by the provisions paid for the products that were being sold," he said, noting brokers could make 10,000 euros in fees from the package of mortgage and investment funds sold to one client.

Banks have consistently offered to help customers switch out of Swiss franc loans into less-risky euro mortgages. But many clients failed to follow through in hope they could erase initial currency losses, only to get nailed again in January.

The rating agencies say the big local component of Austrian banks' loan portfolios means the risks to them are low, citing rising property prices and relatively wealthy clients.

"With two-thirds of Swiss franc mortgages held domestically, we expect asset quality deterioration to be moderate, despite the significant exposure," Fitch said.

In December, however, the Austrian central bank called the high share of foreign-currency loans "a major risk factor with respect to the financial position of Austrian households".

UNDER WATER

Erste and Bank Austria say they won't take big hits from the franc's rise. RBI has no Swiss franc retail loans in Austria and has played down the impact in eastern Europe. The Association of Volksbanks says its share of foreign-currency loans is the Austrian sector's lowest.

The typical floating-rate FX loan was worth 100,000 euros and ran from 15 to 25 years. Customers usually pay only monthly interest, with the full amount of capital due at maturity.

Christian Prantner, an expert on the mortgages at Austria's Chamber of Labour, spoke of one colleague who in 2005 took out a 20-year Swiss franc mortgage for 145,000 euros. She also bought a life insurance policy linked to two investment funds that was supposed to pay off the mortgage when it came due in 2025.

After paying in 70,000 worth of premiums, her account is worth only 50,000 after markets tanked in the financial crisis.

"She is half way through and has 10 years to go. The fund-linked insurance policy will never cover even the original loan amount, let alone what you get by converting the currency at a rate of 1.01" francs per euro, he said.

Nearly three quarters of foreign-currency mortgages due at maturity are backed by such repayment vehicles. Only a fifth get both interest and principal paid in regular monthly instalments.

One bright note is that residential property prices increased by 45 percent from early 2007 to mid-2014, or by 24 percent adjusted for inflation, central bank data show.

That is good for borrowers and banks, Prantner said. "But it can also mean customers who stick with the loan and wait until the end can have a giant gap of 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 (euros), that they then may have to sell the house" to pay the mortgage.

The latest blow is for investors who took out "stop-loss" orders to convert Swiss francs to euros should the 1.20 peg fail, Kolba said. This backfired when the franc rose so much so fast that banks could close out positions only much lower.

The woman with the franc loan said her bank executed her stop-loss order only when the euro and franc were at 1:1, not the level just under 1.20 she wanted. "That was a shock," she said, adding she had hired a lawyer to review her options.

Kolba said the best bet for many borrowers would be using a new consumer arbitration process financed by the government to reach a compromise with their lender. (Editing by Philippa Fletcher)

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